The Canada election today could see a change in leadership, with the leading two parties in a dead heat - meaning Justin Trudeau’s premiership could fall at the hands of his conservative opponent. But this is not only of concern for liberals in Canada - and in fact, could change Canada’s relationship with Europe on trade and more going forwards.
READ MORE: France demands compensation over UK submarine deal
The EKOS poll found the LPC was likely to have a 5.3 percentage point lead with 32.6 percent of the vote, compared to 27.3 percent for the CPC.
Another poll from the Mainstreet Research also found Mr Trudeau’s party would walk away with the most votes at 33.4 percent of the vote, compared to 30.4 percent for the CPC.
Mr Trudeau also came up trumps in the Nanos Research poll with a 32.4 percent lead compared to 31.2 percent for the CPC.
But it's not all good news for the politician; the CPC and LPC were in a dead heat in the Research Co poll, each winning 32 percent of the vote.
Contrastly, the Abas Data and Forum Research poll published on September 19 showed the CPC were likely to walk away with the largest percentage of votes, with one percentage point more than the LPC with a predicted 32 percent for the Conservatives.
Mr O'Toole's party were also crowned victors in the recent Forum Research poll which indicated the CPC would win 33 percent of the vote share, compared to 29.4 percent for the LPC.
DON'T MISS
Argentina makes ￡483m investment in new fighter jets [INSIGHT]
RED alert warning as ‘major eruption’ of Alaskan volcano underway [EXPLAINER]
Dire warning for Biden as the US risks running out of cash [ANALYSIS]
Instead, very few of his policy platform initiatives involve the EU with his agenda instead focusing on boosting Canada’s trading relationship with the UK, Commonwealth countries and the US.
Mr O’Toole has pledged to launch a new Canada, Australia, New Zealand and UK trade deal - a grouping known as CANZUK.
This grouping is supported by many Brexiteers and would be a strong deal for Britain and Canada.
The CPC is also determined to pursue better trading opportunities with India and enlarge the Comprehensive and Progressive Agreement for Trans-Pacific Partnership which would open up Canada’s trade links with several countries in South and Central America and Asia.
But this lack of focus on Europe is likely to face criticism as Europe is currently Canada’s third-largest trading partner behind the USA and China.
Climate change is a massive concern for all nations across the globe.
As one of the world’s highest polluting countries per capita, Canada under Mr Trudeau began implementing climate-friendly policies to limit the footprint of its powerful oil and gas industry.
In April, he announced an increase in the pledge Canada made in the 2015 Paris Agreement which will aim to cut emissions by 45 percent to 45 percent below 2005 levels by 2030.
Mr O’Toole would return to Canada’s previous objective of slashing emissions by 30 percent by 2030.
The Conservative candidate also wants to protect the country’s oil and gas industry - pledging to crack down on pipeline protester blockades, lift bans on oil tankers in protected natural areas and pour more money into offshore oil drilling and natural gas exports.
If Mr Trudeau’s party does win enough votes to form a minority Government it is likely he will face an unstable parliament going forwards.
He will need support from other parties to pass any legislative action.
This would make Canada a more unstable and less dependable ally for Brussels.
A former senior Canadian Government official Michael Wernick said: “We may not have a clear outcome, in which case we may be going back to the polls in the spring.”