Radar courtesy MyRadar | ？ OpenStreetMap contributors
* Winter Weather Advisory far north and west of D.C./I-95 until 1 p.m. Sunday, patchy freezing rain possible *
Today’s daily digit
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A somewhat subjective rating of the day’s weather, on a scale of 0 to 10.
2/10: Slight freezing rain risk north and west is no fun, while an afternoon of plain rain isn’t much better.
Express forecast
Today: Patchy a.m. freezing rain north and west? Rainy afternoon. Highs: Near 40 to mid-40s. Tonight: Rain tapers during the evening, then gusty. Lows: Mid- to upper 20s. Tomorrow: Sunny but cold and blustery. Highs: Mid- to upper 30s.
11:15 a.m. - Winter weather advisory expires close to D.C. and I-95, continues further north and west
The threat of freezing rain has finished for the immediate D.C. area, but could continue until around 1 p.m. for areas further north and west, specifically those areas in purple under a Winter Weather Advisory as pictured below. That said, we are not hearing of any impacts on the roads in the far southern fringe of the advisory area (northwest Loudoun, northwest Montgomery or northwest Howard counties) where temperatures may technically still be close to the freezing mark, but probably not cold enough for ice to be forming on pavement. You should of course drive or walk with caution regardless.
9:45 a.m. - A few pockets of freezing rain north and west of the Beltway
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With a few narrow bands of light rain coming through and temperatures right around freezing, watch out for briefly slick roads north and west of the Beltway. The threat for Montgomery, Howard and northern Loudoun and northern Fauquier counties should wane as temperatures rise above freezing during the 10 o’clock hour, but could continue until around noon further north in Frederick and Carroll counties.
Forecast in detail
Highest chances for some slick spots this morning are well north and west of D.C., but can’t rule out a touch of freezing rain closer to the immediate area. Plain rain soaks all of us this afternoon followed by a chilly Monday and frigid Tuesday, when most spots may not get out of the 20s. We should be more seasonable by Wednesday with highs near or past 40.
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Today (Sunday): Can’t completely rule out a freezing sprinkle or freezing light shower north and west of D.C. this morning. So if you see anything falling assume it is freezing on contact, given temperatures starting in the 20s to near 30. But for most of us, any meaningful rain should hold off until after 11 a.m. or so, by when temperatures should be rising above freezing. The exception could be parts of Frederick, Carroll and northern Loudoun counties, where an hour or so of freezing rain and a light glaze is possible.
Otherwise, we’re looking at a mostly cloudy day with plain rain continuing through the afternoon as highs rise to around 40 and the mid-40s. Southwest breezes aren’t too bad, but may gust 15 mph to 20 mph at times. Confidence: Medium-High
Tonight: Rain should taper from northwest to southeast around 7 p.m. to 9 p.m. as a cold front clears the region. A few snowflakes may mix with final rain showers as they exit, followed by slowly clearing skies. Temperatures drop toward lows in the mid- to upper 20s as winds shift to come from the northwest, building to gusts near 25 mph. Confidence: Medium-High
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Tomorrow (Monday): We’re cold and blustery despite ample sunshine. High temperatures in the mid- to upper 30s feel like the 20s almost all day, thanks to northwest winds gusting near 25 mph. Perhaps a flurry or passing snow shower during the midafternoon into evening. Confidence: Medium-High
Tomorrow night: Still the chance of a flurry or snow shower into the early evening. Winds remain stubbornly gusty, near 20 mph a few times out of the northwest. Otherwise, we are clear and cold. Low temperatures bottom out in the teens to near 20 regionwide. Confidence: Medium-High
A look ahead
Temperatures still struggle to rise on Tuesday with high temperatures remarkably chilly, in the mid-20s near 30. Potentially, it’s the coldest we’ve been since February 2019. At least we’ll have bright sunshine and slowly diminishing breezes. Confidence: High
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We may start the day around 20 degrees on Wednesday, but temperatures recover quickly. We should top out around 40 to the low 40s under mostly to partly sunny skies. Southwesterly breezes could boost us toward the mid-40s, but we’ll tweak the forecast as we get closer. Confidence: Medium
Snow potential index
A daily assessment of the potential for at least 1 inch of snow in the next week, on a 0-10 scale.
1/10 (→): No accumulating snow expected the next several days, but the pattern could trend unsettled again by next weekend.
Read more about Capital Weather Gang’s confidence rating.
Dan Stillman contributed to this forecast.