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Tories handed lifeline as shock poll reveals Labour's vote share lowest in two years
2024-06-29 00:00:00.0     每日快报-政治     原网页

       

       Labour's vote share has fallen in a new poll. (Image: Getty)

       The Tories have been handed a lifeline as a shock poll reveals Labour's vote share is at its lowest in two years.

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       A poll by Savanta for the Telegraph uncovered the lowest Labour support since January 2022 with the gap between Labour and the Conservatives dropping to 17 percentage points.

       Despite support for Labour dropping four points, they are still on course to win the election, with a vote share of 38 percent to the Tories 21 percent, according to Electoral Calculus.

       This outcome would give Labour 459 seats, the Tories 75 and the Lib Dems 70. Reform would get six seats and the SNP would be reduced to just 14 in Scotland.

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       Electoral Calculus’ predictions would also see Jeremy Hunt, the Chancellor, Liz Truss, Mr Sunak’s predecessor, and Penny Mordaunt, the Leader of the Commons who has been touted as a future Tory leader, all lose their seats.

       READ MORE: Labour's defence and military plans for Britain could see closer ties to EU [LATEST]

       The Tories have been handed a lifeline following a new poll. (Image: Getty)

       Chris Hopkins, the director of political research at Savanta, said: “This is our lowest Labour vote share since Rishi Sunak became Prime Minister, and the Conservatives for their part do appear to have slowed or stopped their downward spiral.

       “However, that’s where the good news ends for the Prime Minister – if this vote share was replicated on polling day, Labour would still likely have a majority of over 200.

       “The increase in vote share for the Greens and independent candidates is notable. Not because it will have an impact on this election in any significant way, but could point towards trouble for the Labour Party in government and over the coming years.”

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       The Savanta polling also found voters expect a Labour government to improve NHS waiting times and housing.

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       Waiting times are expected by voters to get better by 45 percent Britons, while 27 percent think they will get worse. 43 percent anticipate the housing crisis to ease, and 25 percent think it will worsen.

       The public is more split on whether Labour would make the economy better or worse (40 percent versus 38 percent), as well as life in general (34 percent versus 30 percent) and crime (32 percent versus 33 percent).

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