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Major boost as IMF confirms UK economy is performing better than expected
2024-07-16 00:00:00.0     每日快报-政治     原网页

       

       GDP (Image: PA)

       The International Monetary Fund predicts the economy will grow 0.7% this year and by a further 1.5% in 2025.

       While confirming the upgraded figures from May, the data marks an uptick from earlier predictions in April when its economists said Britain’s GDP would increase by 0.5%.

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       The IMF also expects the UK will grow faster over the next six years than any European G7 country or Japan.

       The data, contained in an update of the IMF’s world economic outlook, comes days after official data showed GDP is growing at its fastest rate for more than two years.

       The economy grew by a better-than-expected 0.4% in May in another sign that the ex-Prime Minister’s plan was working.

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       Both sets of data also go some way to rubbishing Rachel Reeves dire warning about the nation’s finances.

       Grocery inflation (Image: Getty)

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       Grocery inflation (Image: PA)

       Interest rates have been broadly increased globally as countries have sought to grapple with high levels of inflation over the past two years.

       In the UK, interest rates currently sit at a 16-year-high of 5.25%, with Bank of England policymakers opting to maintain rates at this level for the past seven meetings.

       The IMF said concerns over wage inflation and service industry inflation, which have remained more persistent than over areas of the economy, mean that interest rates are taking longer than previously expected to decrease.

       It added: “The risk of elevated inflation has raised the prospects of higher-for-even-longer interest rates, which in turn increases external, fiscal, and financial risks.”

       In a boost for consumers, grocery price inflation plunged to 1.6%, down from June’s 2.1% and its lowest figure since September 2021.

       The drop coincided with the fastest rise in monthly footfall so far this year, with Britons making 2% more trips to the supermarket this period than they did one year ago.

       As household financial pressures eased, sales of branded products increased by 3.6%, outpacing own-label items at 2.7%.

       England’s progression through the Euros tournament saw football fans driving beer sales up by an average of 13% on the days that the team played compared with the same day in the previous week.

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       However, with many matches played on “school nights”, Britons apparently chose moderation, sending spending on no and low-alcohol beer up by 38% on matchdays.

       Meanwhile, the soggy summer has seen sales of cold and flu treatments jump by 35%, while sun cream sales were down by 10% and sales of artificial tan rose by 16% compared with last year, when the UK enjoyed the warmest June on record.

       Ahead of the King’s Speech on Wednesday, Fraser McKevitt, head of retail and consumer insight at Kantar, said: “The retail landscape looks very different from 2010 when the last Labour government was in power – and so do our shopping trolleys.

       “As diets have evolved, sales of popcorn, peanut butter and chilled vegetarian products, such as sausages and grills, have more than trebled.

       “We’re also more likely to have premium ground and bean coffee in our cups now.”

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       Ocado was the fastest-growing grocer for the fifth month in a row, with sales up by 10.7% over the 12 weeks to July 7.

       Waitrose gained market share for the first time since January 2022, achieving a 0.1 percentage point rise to 4.5% as spending at the upmarket grocer increased by 3.3%.

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