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       Breeziness wasn’t a major detractor from today’s above-average warmth and sunshine, right? Tomorrow we’ll take a one-day break from abnormally warm temperatures near 70 degrees. Occasional clouds don’t bring a chance of rain in the near-term. Read more context on the dry spell below.

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       Through tonight: Some clouds may move in after midnight, but overall the skies will be fair to clear. Temperatures by dawn will bottom out near 40 degrees to mid-40s (downtown). Northerly breezes should calm a good deal after sunset (perhaps still gusting around 10 mph) and then die down further after midnight.

       View the current weather at The Washington Post.

       Tomorrow (Monday): Only a few periodic clouds will mix into mostly sunny skies. High temperatures slip closer to average for this time of year, in the low to mid-60s. A couple of afternoon southerly wind gusts could near 15 mph, but nothing too noticeable. Overnight, it’s mild upper 40s to mid-50s as clouds and breezes increase a bit. A few south-southwest gusts near 20 mph are possible.

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       See Molly Robey’s forecast that runs through midweek. Come chat tonight! Our Sunday Sunset Live Q&A will start at 5:03 p.m. on YouTube, Facebook and X.

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       Waiting for and wanting rain

       Let’s take a quick look at our near-term dry spell in the form of our rainfall deficit over the past two weeks, and overlay that with our longer-term drought conditions. Almost all of Maryland and Virginia, along with surrounding areas shaded bright yellow on the map below, received 1-2 inches of rain less than would be typical over the past 14 days — and some small areas shaded light orange near Staunton and Harrisonburg, Va., are 2-3 inches in deficit.

       Longer-term drought continues to plague Virginia, especially in the Blue Ridge and Shenandoah Valley area. In the darker orange shading on the map below, a D2/severe drought persists. We’d need at least 6 inches of rain — if not a full foot — in the longer term to drastically reduce that drought area.

       Meaningful rain chances may be delayed this workweek as late as Thursday night into Friday. Be sure to come chat tonight during our weekly Sunday Sunset Live Q&A. We’ll examine all the forecast components of the week ahead, including rainfall estimates. Tune in at 5:03 p.m.

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