OPINION
Prime Minister Keir Starmer speaks during a press conference at a summit at Lancaster House (Image: Getty Images)
It was US President Theodore Roosevelt who coined the maxim that success required you to “speak softly and carry a big stick”. Over the last few days Britain’s diplomatic skills have been evident. The Prime Minister’s visit to the US, the phone calls to presidents Trump and Zelensky post-Oval Office spat and the hosting of yesterday’s summit were welcome accomplishments. What has been less evident is the commitment to generate the hard power required to protect our interests and secure a lasting peace deal for Ukraine. Unless there is a deterrent against Russian expansionism it will continue.
If NATO’s articles and US assistance will not provide those security guarantees then another means must be found. The UK and Europe have known this for some time. Some nations have tried to step up and are finding out how hard it is to ring-fence the required revenue. Poland – a country explicitly named by Vladimir Putin as being future Russian territory – is struggling to meet its goal of 4.7% GDP on defence. NATO has been pushing for its members to reach 3% for some time. Some still don’t even spend 2%. Whitehall has responded with a wholly inadequate 2.5%, achieved through Treasury smoke and mirrors. Cutting the aid budget is justifiable to fund vital defence capabilities, but not to fund the offloading of the Chagos Islands.
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We need to refocus spending on the things that only Government can do. We need an emergency defence preparation programme, to get us in shape over the next five years. Done well, it will provide a deterrent to future aggression.
Lord Robertson, a former NATO Secretary General, will shortly present his defence review to the Prime Minister. The Treasury must fund what is needed. And any European “defence bank” created to help these efforts must be open to the US.
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Now – or when Europe’s borders are breached? The former will be at a price that is hard to bear. The second at an unbearable price.