by Alireza Nader

       It would be easy to assume that Hassan Rouhani is destined to win re-election in this month's Iranian presidential vote. His presidency produced the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action nuclear agreement, or JCPOA, which reduced the chances of war with the United States and removed the most onerous sanctions on the Iranian economy. Iran's oil output has increased as inflation has decreased, and the political system has achieved a degree of consensus and stability.

       But the Iranian president is not guaranteed a second term....

       The remainder of this commentary is available on realclearworld.com.

       Alireza Nader is a senior international policy analyst at the nonprofit, nonpartisan RAND Corporation.

       This commentary originally appeared on RealClearWorld on May 3, 2017.