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The five reasons why Keir Starmer shouldn't be so smug about Labour's win

2024-07-05 00:00:00.0 每日快报-政治原网页

Sir Keir Starmer might not have an easy ride when he gets the keys to Number 10 (Image: PA )

Sir Keir Starmer is set to make a triumphant entrance to Downing Street as the country's new Prime Minister, but despite a landslide victory Labour could have to confront some uncomfortable problems almost immediately.

Labour have won the General Election with a massive 410 seats so far, leaving the Conservatives with a disappointing 119, and the Lib Dems with a record 71 MPs.

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Senior Labour MP Jonathan Ashworth lost his seat in Leicester South to an independent (Image: PA )

Vote share

Britain has a First Past the Post voting system, which means Labour have secured a huge number of seats, but their actual share of the vote is relatively low.

A prime example of vote share, meaning the number of people who vote for one party overall, not translating into MPs would be the Lib Dems election results versus Reform UK.

Despite receiving less of the vote share, 12 percent, than Reform UK's 14 percent, the Lib Dems have 71 MPs compared to Reform's four.

It's likely Nigel Farage and other MPs will be wanting to push for a new voting system by the next election as they argue that their support is not fairly reflected in Parliament under the current voting model.

Israel and Gaza

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In one of the biggest shocks of the night, former Labour Shadow Cabinet member Jonathan Ashworth MP lost his seat to an independent in Leicester South.

Mr Ashworth had been a high-profile figure giving media appearances during the election campaign but he was defeated in a seat he has held since 2014 by a candidate running on the Israel-Hamas war issue in an area with a large Muslim population.

In Birmingham too, in constituencies with high Muslim populations, Labour candidates Jess Phillips and Shabana Mahmood only narrowly scraped home to victory against opponents also running on the Gaza war.

Reform UK

Reform UK have won millions of votes this General Election and despite many commentators seeing their gains as being primarily from the right, the party has also done extremely well in traditionally Labour seats.

Speaking after his victory in Clacton, Reform UK leader Nigel Farage was clear he intends to make Labour a key target in the next Parliament.

He said: "What is interesting is, there's no enthusiasm for Labour, there's no enthusiasm for [Keir] Starmer whatsoever. In fact, about half of the vote is simply an anti-Conservative vote.

"We're coming for Labour, be in no doubt about that."

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Nigel Farage's Reform UK party have pushed Labour hard in many seats (Image: PA )

The Jeremy Corbyn factor

Despite desperately trying to distance the Labour Party from the disaster of the 2019 election campaign run by his old boss Jeremy Corbyn, Sir Keir Starmer will face the unenviable prospect of seeing the hard-left politician returned to Parliament as an independent.

Mr Corbyn saw off the challenge from Labour hopeful Praful Nargund in the Islington North seat he has held since 1983, with the 75-year-old former leader of the Labour Party winning by almost 10,000 votes.

It's likely Sir Keir will be mindful of Mr Corbyn's presence in the House of Commons as he tries to guard against the far-left elements of his own party re-emerging perhaps with renewed confidence after the landslide victory.

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