Today’s daily digit

       A somewhat subjective rating of the day’s weather, on a scale of zero to 10.

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       2/10: Temps 20 degrees below normal? Wind chills in the teens? This is a big nope from me.

       Express forecast

       Today: Partly sunny, windy, cold. Highs: Near 40. Tonight: Gradual clearing. Lows: 20 to 25. Tomorrow: Mostly sunny. Highs: 45 to 50.

       Forecast in detail

       It’s the 28th day of the month and yet it may well be the coldest. We do trend warmer after today and we’re into the 70s by Thursday. But that’s when we could have some strong to severe thunderstorms as an intense storm system barrels through the region. After Thursday, high temperatures aren’t far from seasonal norms, pretty close to 60.

       Today (Monday): Bundle up this morning, with wind chills in the teens in many areas. Even this afternoon, when skies are partly sunny, highs struggle to hit 40 degrees and wind chills are in the 20s and 30s. Those winds are from the northwest at 10 to 20 mph, with some gusts over 30 mph at times. We can’t totally rule out a late-day snow shower or flurry, especially north of the District. Confidence: Medium-High

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       Tonight: Some evening cloud cover gradually fades overnight. It’s very cold yet again, with lows near 20 in our colder areas and the mid- to upper 20s downtown. Confidence: Medium-High

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       Tomorrow (Tuesday): Some improvement over Monday, with more sun, less wind and not as cold. Highs range from 45 to 50, with winds from the northwest around 10 mph and some gusts to 15 to 20 mph. Confidence: Medium-High

       Tomorrow night: Clouds increase, with a small chance of rain. In our colder areas, the rain could briefly mix with sleet and/or snow. Lows are in the low to mid-30s. Confidence: Medium

       A look ahead

       A warm front lifts through the area on Wednesday, pushing temperatures closer to normal. Amid mostly cloudy skies, highs should reach 55 to 60. As strong winds blow in from the south Wednesday night, temperatures probably don’t fall much, with lows 50 to 55. Confidence: Medium

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       Much warmer conditions arrive on Thursday. Highs shoot well into the 70s, with variably cloudy skies. During the afternoon and especially into the evening, showers and thunderstorms are a good bet. Some of the storms could be strong to severe. Rain should taper off overnight, with lows in the 40s. Confidence: Medium

       After the volatile stretch Monday through Thursday, we settle into pretty typical early April conditions Friday through Sunday. Highs each of those three days are within a few degrees of 60, with lows generally between 40 and 45. It’s mostly dry, but we can’t rule out some showers on Sunday. Confidence: Medium