用户名/邮箱
登录密码
验证码
看不清?换一张
您好,欢迎访问! [ 登录 | 注册 ]
您的位置:首页 - 最新资讯
UK General Election: What is an exit poll, why is it published and how accurate are they?
2024-07-04 00:00:00.0     每日快报-政治     原网页

       

       Brits across the country will go to the polls today (Image: Getty)

       From 7am until 10pm tonight, Brits will be able to cast their ballots and vote for who they want to represent them for the next five years.

       An exit poll will be released when voting closes at 10pm. But what is an exit poll? Express.co.uk breaks it down.

       by Taboola by Taboola

       Sponsored Link Sponsored Link

       Promoted Links Promoted Links

       Camper Vans | Search Ads

       Unsold Camper Vans 2024 (See Prices)Camper Vans | Search Ads

       Undo

       Don't miss... 'I spent the entire day with Sunak - one thing I saw will stick with me forever'

       There will be exit pollsters at 130 of the 650 seats (Image: Getty)

       What is an exit poll?

       The exit poll is the best indication of what the result of an election is going to be before it is officially released.

       The research is carried out for the three major broadcasters by Ipsos and sees voters asked to fill in a mock ballot paper as they leave their polling station. This process takes place at 130 of the 650 polling stations.

       Those who fill out the mock ballot are asked to indicate how they voted.

       Sponsored

       Forbes

       Forbes Learn More

       Top Pick: The Credit Card Winner with Good Credit

       Undo

       by Taboola by Taboola

       This process allows broadcasters to predict who's taken the election, however, the process does not apply to Northern Ireland.

       Don't miss...

       'I'm a legal expert - here's how General Election talk could get you fired' [POLITICS]

       Rishi Sunak tipped for ITV's I'm A Celebrity as election loss predicted [POLITICS]

       Young man gives four-word reason why he and his friends are turning to Farage [POLITICS]

       SUBSCRIBE Invalid email

       We use your sign-up to provide content in ways you've consented to and to improve our understanding of you. This may include adverts from us and 3rd parties based on our understanding. You can unsubscribe at any time. Read our Privacy Policy

       Sir John Curtice says exit polls are an accurate measure of the actual results (Image: Getty)

       How accurate is it?

       Polling expert Sir John Curtice said that exit polls have been a good indicator of the result for around 20 years.

       DON'T MISS

       Powered by

       Can I still use my postal vote if I've forgotten to send it off?

       18 Comments

       Lee Anderson warns 'we're going to give them hell' after huge Reform UK victory

       57 Comments

       The 7 big name Tories who are still MPs after surviving wipeout

       34 Comments

       Trump advisor hails Farage's election surge as 'resurrection of Brexit spirit' across UK

       437 Comments

       Tory civil war erupts after 'bloodbath' as members moan about 'Boris-shaped hole' in party

       1145 Comments

       Polling expert John Curtice sends dire warning to Keir Starmer despite Labour election win

       1893 Comments

       Channel 4's General Election coverage viewers 'switch off' as panel leaves them seething

       13 Comments

       Who will win the general election? Latest UK polls, odds and expert analysis

       2094 Comments

       POLL: Have you decided who you're voting for in the General Election tomorrow?

       231 Comments

       Keir Starmer on course to enter Number 10 on back of biggest landslide in history

       424 Comments

       POLL: Who is the most likeable UK political party leader? You decide

       333 Comments

       POLL: Should Britain scrap first past the post for proportional representation?

       295 Comments

       Rishi Sunak resigns as Tory leader after devastating General Election defeat

       302 Comments

       Get your constituency election results with interactive map - Find out who your MP is now

       27 Comments

       John Curtice explains 'crucial' general election exit poll detail that not everyone knows

       4 Comments

       Exit poll results in full as Tories on course for disastrous night and big Reform UK shock

       1 Comments

       The one man who knows UK exit poll result before anyone else in Britain

       102 Comments

       General Election LIVE: Millions of UK voters head to the polls

       1 Comments

       Revival Point

       Doctor Reveals To The Public How To Build Weak Muscle Over 50Revival Point

       Undo

       by Taboola by Taboola

       Sponsored Links Sponsored Links

       Promoted Links Promoted Links

       Our voting system is wrong - we need change now

       39 Comments

       Shock graph shows staggering gulf between Reform's millions of votes and tiny seat haul

       245 Comments

       Can I still use my postal vote if I've forgotten to send it off?

       18 Comments

       Lee Anderson warns 'we're going to give them hell' after huge Reform UK victory

       57 Comments

       The 7 big name Tories who are still MPs after surviving wipeout

       34 Comments

       Trump advisor hails Farage's election surge as 'resurrection of Brexit spirit' across UK

       437 Comments

       Tory civil war erupts after 'bloodbath' as members moan about 'Boris-shaped hole' in party

       1145 Comments

       Polling expert John Curtice sends dire warning to Keir Starmer despite Labour election win

       1893 Comments

       Channel 4's General Election coverage viewers 'switch off' as panel leaves them seething

       13 Comments

       Who will win the general election? Latest UK polls, odds and expert analysis

       2094 Comments

       POLL: Have you decided who you're voting for in the General Election tomorrow?

       231 Comments

       Keir Starmer on course to enter Number 10 on back of biggest landslide in history

       424 Comments

       POLL: Who is the most likeable UK political party leader? You decide

       333 Comments

       POLL: Should Britain scrap first past the post for proportional representation?

       295 Comments

       Rishi Sunak resigns as Tory leader after devastating General Election defeat

       302 Comments

       Get your constituency election results with interactive map - Find out who your MP is now

       27 Comments

       John Curtice explains 'crucial' general election exit poll detail that not everyone knows

       4 Comments

       Exit poll results in full as Tories on course for disastrous night and big Reform UK shock

       1 Comments

       The one man who knows UK exit poll result before anyone else in Britain

       102 Comments

       General Election LIVE: Millions of UK voters head to the polls

       1 Comments

       Our voting system is wrong - we need change now

       39 Comments

       Shock graph shows staggering gulf between Reform's millions of votes and tiny seat haul

       245 Comments

       Can I still use my postal vote if I've forgotten to send it off?

       18 Comments

       Lee Anderson warns 'we're going to give them hell' after huge Reform UK victory

       57 Comments

       The 7 big name Tories who are still MPs after surviving wipeout

       34 Comments

       Trump advisor hails Farage's election surge as 'resurrection of Brexit spirit' across UK

       437 Comments

       Tory civil war erupts after 'bloodbath' as members moan about 'Boris-shaped hole' in party

       1145 Comments

       Polling expert John Curtice sends dire warning to Keir Starmer despite Labour election win

       1893 Comments

       Channel 4's General Election coverage viewers 'switch off' as panel leaves them seething

       13 Comments

       Beverly Hills MD

       Surgeon Reveals: Forget Collagen, Use This Household Item Instead (For Wrinkles)Beverly Hills MD

       Undo

       by Taboola by Taboola

       Sponsored Links Sponsored Links

       Promoted Links Promoted Links

       He told The Telegraph: "The record isn’t perfect, but since 2005 the exit poll has given a pretty good indication of where the result will end up on the night. It also tends to be more accurate than opinion polls carried out before voting happens."

       At the last election the exit poll was very close to actual result. The prediction was that the Tories under Boris Johnson had won 368 seats - they won 365. Meanwhile, Labour were predicted to take 191 seats but took 203.

       This time around, exit pollsters shouldn't have too much trouble predicting the victor, but let's see how accurately they forecast the make-up of the next parliament.

       Related articles Get the latest General Election updates from our free Politics WhatsApp Express readers vote for their favourite UK political leader - landslide result Is this why the establishment hates Nigel Farage so much? If you have conservative values, don't let Labour govern unchecked Reform rules out Tory pact as Nigel Farage gives key election update

       


标签:政治
关键词: Taboola     Curtice     Polling     election     Comments     Tories     polls    
滚动新闻