Today’s daily digit

       A somewhat subjective rating of the day’s weather, on a scale of 0 to 10.

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       7/10: Sunshine and light winds make for tolerable highs in the mid-30s to around 40. Still below average, yes, but at least not prohibitive for weekend outdoor time.

       Express forecast

       Today: Sunny, light winds. Highs: Upper 30s to around 40. Tonight: Increasing clouds late. Lows: 20s. Tomorrow: Freezing drizzle/rain-snow shower? Highs: 42-49.

       Forecast in detail

       The cold eases slightly today, along with the breeze. Much more tolerable, even though we’re still below average for the date (which is 46 degrees at DCA). There’s not too much precipitation ahead but a slight chance the Monday morning commute sees patchy freezing drizzle, especially east of I-95.

       As temperatures rise tomorrow, rain is much more likely now than seeing many snowflakes--perhaps a few tomorrow night. By midweek, temperatures rise to near or a bit above average.

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       Today (Sunday): Enjoy the sunshine. The morning is certainly chilly, as temperatures start in the teens and 20s. But sunny skies and a light breeze from the southeast help moderate the cold by afternoon. High temperatures should reach the upper 30s to around 40. Confidence: High

       Tonight: A clear evening gives way to increasing overnight clouds. Evening temperatures fall back through the 30s. Temperatures don’t fall too much further overnight, with lows ranging from the low 20s in the typically colder suburbs to the upper 20s downtown and near larger bodies of water. Winds are very light or calm. Confidence: High

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       Tomorrow (Monday): Skies are partly sunny, with a few snow flurries possible, along with patchy freezing drizzle (especially east of I-95) early, and then a light rain shower or two possible into the afternoon.

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       We’ll be watching a storm system develop near the North Carolina coast, staying offshore it looks like, as it moves northward. High temperatures top out at least in the mid-40s. Upper 40s are in play, if we see more sun than currently expected. Confidence: Medium

       Tomorrow night: We’ll keep an eye on the storm system moving northward from North Carolina. Some brief light rain or snow is possible during the evening, especially south and east of D.C., where a dusting can’t be ruled out. Any precipitation should wane overnight as lows dip to the mid-20s to around 30. Confidence: Medium

       A look ahead

       Mostly sunny skies and milder air return for Tuesday and Wednesday. We may get closer to our average “February feels,” with high temperatures eyeing the mid-40s to around 50. Breezes could be around both days, though, creating a wind chill below what the thermometer reads. A couple of rain or snow showers are possible Wednesday night. Confidence: Medium

       Snow potential index

       A daily assessment of the potential for at least 1 inch of snow in the next week, on a 0-10 scale.

       1/10 (→): A snow flurry or snow shower possible here and there, and perhaps brief light snow Monday evening. Nothing seems likely to accumulate more than a dusting (if that) at this point.