Presidential debates are mostly about style, not substance; the intended audience isn’t economists, but wavering voters. Last week’s debate was a case in point: President Biden’s disastrous performance led to calls for him to drop out of the race, recasting the election campaign. But substance still matters, and the debate left wavering voters without a clear case for either party on the economy.
Much of what former President Donald Trump said was hyperbolic or wrong. “We had the greatest economy in the history of our country" before Covid hit, he claimed. Unemployment and inflation were indeed low. But Presidents Barack Obama, George W. Bush and Bill Clinton all enjoyed stretches of growth in economic output, jobs and real (after inflation) wages that were as good as or better than Trump’s first three years.
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