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Seven key battleground areas in General Election from Essex to Red Wall

2024-07-03 00:00:00.0 每日快报-政治原网页

Sir Keir Starmer and Rishi Sunak (Image: GETTY)

RED WALL

Rishi Sunak is desperate to cling on to some of the Red Wall seats won by Boris Johnson at the 2019 election.

The victories in places such as Blythe Valley, Redcar and Bishop Auckland were vital to the Tory's record-breaking 80-seat majority.

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Areas that have traditionally always voted Tory in stock-broker areas and commuter towns that have grown disgruntled with the party’s offering.

The Lib Dems have identified twenty seats that are in their sights such as strongholds such as Michael Gove’s Surrey Heath seat and Jeremy Hunt’s new Godalming and Ash constituency.

They will also be looking to hold on to the traditionally Tory Chesham and Amersham constituency.

Defence Secretary Grant Shapps who has a majority of 10,955 in his Welwyn Hatfield seat is also in the sights of Labour.

Chancellor Jeremy Hunt is fighting for the new Godalming and Ash constituency (Image: Getty)

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MIDDLE ENGLAND

Bellwether seats could be the biggest pointer for determining the final outcome.

Broxbourne, one of the first results expected to be called, has been won by the Conservatives at every election since it was created in 1983.

But a Labour victory would be a huge loss and an early indication of the size of the possible national swing towards Sir Keir’s party.

Swindon South is another key indicator with former justice secretary Robert Buckland defending a majority of 6,625.

This is the kind of seat Labour would win comfortably if it is going to achieve the large majority opinion polls have predicted.

Labour would have to achieve a massive swing to reclaim Cannock Chase, which it held from 1997-2010.

The Conservatives won it with a majority of nearly 20,000 votes in 2019.

Modelling by opinion pollsters YouGov has projected a Labour win is likely here, an outcome which could signal the Conservatives are in for a very bad night.

LONDON

Labour will be looking to clean up in the Capital following the recent London mayoral results.

Sadiq Khan won in May despite controversy over the ULEZ low emission zone expansion and knife crime.

Sir Keir Starmer - himself a London MP - will be keen to dominate central London during the election fight.

Central London is likely to be all red but there are some suburban battlegrounds that could still see Tories maintain a much-needed foothold.

Labour didn’t manage to win the Uxbridge and South Ruislip by-election last year while Chipping Barnet, currently held by Theresa Villiers, could be close.

Kemi Badenoch is expected to hold on to her traditionally safe Essex constituency (Image: Getty)

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Sir Jacob Rees-Mogg could be a high-profile Tory casualty (Image: Getty)

ESSEX

It would appear TOWIE - The Only Way Is Essex - holds the future for the Tory party.

If they lose as badly as expected then the party will soon be looking for a new leader.

Kemi Badenoch, the bookies' favourite, Priti Patel and James Cleverly are all potential candidates, all represent Essex constituencies.

Another politician touted as future Tory leader is Nigel Farage who is hoping to become an MP at the eighth attempt by winning in Clacton.

And if you want to know the result of the election, look no further than Harlow - the Essex town that always decides who will be the next Prime Minister.

In 1997 it swung from Conservative to Labour before returning to the Tories in 2010.

The pendulum could swing again.

If that’s not enough, Basildon and Billericay is another key battleground in the county. This seat is being contested by Conservative Party Chairman Richard Holden.

Winning here would mean Labour overturning a majority of more than 20,000 votes and could be a sign of the size of the Labour landslide to come.

SOUTH WEST

Labour and the Lib Dems have led a major assault on the southwest of England during the past few weeks.

One high-profile loser could be Jacob Rees-Mogg who is seen as being vulnerable in his Somerset seat.

Cabinet member Mel Stride is also in danger of losing in Central Devon as well as Veterans Minister Johnny Mercer in Plymouth Moor View.

The Lib Dems are also looking at taking a swathe of seats across Devon and Cornwall.

Ed Davey’s party will be trying to find every last vote as they hit voters’ concerns over farming subsidies, water quality and also environmental rules.

Justice Secretary Alex Chalk has a wafer-thin majority of 981 in his Cheltenham seat which is widely expected to turn yellow.

SCOTLAND

The implosion of the SNP is expected to lead to a Labour resurgence north of the border and the polls have backed this up.

They could win at least 20 seats in Scotland which would mark a remarkable turnaround from 2019.

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