Labour would lose over 100 seats in an election, according to Nowcast (Image: Getty)
A shocking new map shows the 100-plus seats the Labour Party and Keir Starmer could lose in the next General Election.
Nowcast, which brings together polling from across the country, has projected major losses for Labour if a General Election were to take place today, with the Tories to see huge gains.
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The model has predicted that Labour will lose 117 seats, dropping their total to 294, but still enough to form a government. It also expects the Conservatives to gain 78 seats, bringing them significantly closer on 199.
Reform UK is projected to do well from Labour’s loss of seats, gaining 25 to bring their total to 30. This would make them bigger than the SNP, Greens and Plaid Cymru together.
Tory gains seem to be focused in the south, east and Midlands of England, while Reform may do well around the Thames Estuary.
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Latest Nowcast sees post-election highs for Reform & the SNP, as CON & LAB slip:
LAB: 294 (-117), 27.1%
CON: 199 (+78), 26.0%
LDM: 69 (-3), 11.7%
RFM: 30 (+25), 21.0%
SNP: 22 (+13), 2.6%
GRN: 4 (=), 7.6%
PLC: 3 (-1), 0.6%
Others: 10 (+5), 3.4%https://t.co/1ZvylUw6N8 pic.twitter.com/qwhkEO3bwD
— Election Maps UK (@ElectionMapsUK) December 9, 2024
Nowcast predicts the Liberal Democrats will lose three seats, bringing them to 69, and the SNP will gain 13, bringing them to a total of 22.
Under this electoral projection, Labour will get 27% of the national vote, with the Conservatives only marginally behind with 26%.
This comes after it was revealed Labour has lost 24 local council since the General Election in July. The Tories have gained 23 and Reform 6.
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Projected Labour losses, according to Nowcast:
Amber Valley
Barnsley South
Basildon and Billericay
Birmingham Hodge Hill and Solihull North
Bradford South
Burnley
Cannock Chase
Chatham and Aylesford
Dagenham and Rainham
Derby South
Dudley
Folkestone and Hythe
Great Grimsby and Cleethorpes
Heywood and Middleton North
Hornchurch and Upminster
Kingston upon Hull East
Llanelli
Makerfield
North Durham
North Warwickshire and Bedworth
Sittingbourne and Sheppey
South West Norfolk
Sunderland Central
Tipton and Wednesbury
Walsall and Bloxwich
Aberdeenshire North and Moray East
Altrincham and Sale West
Ashford
Aylesbury
Banbury
Bexleyheath and Crayford
Bournemouth West
Bracknell
Brent West
Buckingham and Bletchley
Bury St Edmunds and Stowmarket
Burton and Uttoxeter
Chipping Barnet
Chelsea and Fulham
Cities of London and Westminster
Clwyd North
Congleton
Dartford
Darlington
Derbyshire Dales
Doncaster East and the Isle of Axholme
Dunstable and Leighton Buzzard
Earley and Woodley
Eastleigh
Ely and East Cambridgeshire
Finchley and Golders Green
Forest of Dean
Gloucester
Gravesham
Harlow
Hendon
Hertford and Stortford
Hyndburn
Isle of Wight West
Kensington and Bayswater
Kettering
Lichfield
Lowestoft
Mansfield
Mid and South Pembrokeshire
Mid Derbyshire
Middlesbrough South and East Cleveland
Monmouthshire
Montgomeryshire and Glyndwr
Moray West, Nairn and Strathspey
Northampton South
North East Derbyshire
North East Hampshire
North East Hertfordshire
North Somerset
North West Cambridgeshire
Nuneaton
Pendle and Clitheroe
Peterborough
Poole
Portsmouth North
Reading West and Mid Berkshire
Redcar
Redditch
Ribble Valley
Rochester and Strood
Rother Valley
Rugby
Scunthorpe
South Derbyshire
South Dorset
South East Cornwall
South Norfolk
Southend West and Leigh
Stoke-on-Trent South
St Austell and Newquay
Stourbridge
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Suffolk Coastal
Swindon North
Tamworth