India’s rice production for the 2023-24 season might drop by 2 million tonnes (mt) due to a dry August, according to the US Department of Agriculture (USDA).
The USDA’s latest crop outlook indicates that India’s expected rice production for the year will be approximately 132 mt, reflecting the impact of below-average monsoon rains in August on the kharif crop.
The 2023-24 production figure includes kharif rice production, rabi rice, and rice produced during the summer months.
According to the government’s Third Advance Estimates of foodgrain production, total rice production in the 2022-23 season (kharif + rabi + summer crop) is estimated to be around 135.54 mt.
“India’s 2023-24 rice production lowered by 2 mt to 132 mt on below-average monsoon rains in August affecting the kharif crop,” the USDA said in its latest assessment.
However, it’s worth noting that the government’s official production estimate for the kharif crop in 2023-24 has not yet been released, so the USDA’s assessment might not match the government's.
Also Read
LT Foods, KRBL, Chaman Lal, GRM slide up to 6% on basmati rice export curbs
Premier League: Arsenal breaks record, signs Rice for 105 million pounds
Premier League: Arsenal breaks record, signs Rice for 105 million pounds
Govt might lift the ban on white rice export soon as production increases
Why is growing rice becoming a challenge with each passing year
RBI decides to include corporate bond under Held to Maturity category
Global Biofuel Alliance can turn India into export hub for SAF: Puri
India's gold imports surges 40%, threatens to blow out trade deficit
BOI raises Rs 2,000 cr in capital via Tier II bonds to fuel business growth
Cabinet approves expansion of Ujjwala Yojana to 7.5 mn more connections
On a global scale, the USDA report predicts a decrease in rice consumption by 200,000 tonnes to approximately 522.7 mt in 2023-24. This reduction is primarily due to decreases in consumption in Bangladesh and Vietnam, which outweigh an increase in consumption in India.
The report also mentions that global rice trade for 2023-24 is expected to reach 52.2 mt, marking a decrease of 800,000 tonnes. This decline is attributed to reduced rice exports from India, which will only be partially offset by increased exports from Thailand, Vietnam, and the US.
“The Government of India has imposed further restrictions on rice exports, with an export tax on parboiled rice and a minimum export price for basmati,” the report notes.
The report projects world rice ending stocks for 2023-24 at 167.6 mt, down by 4.2 mt, with the majority of the reduction occurring in India.
According to the latest government data on the sowing of kharif crops, the area under paddy has staged a significant recovery due to a revival of monsoon rains in major growing regions.
As of September 8, the area covered under paddy in the kharif season is approximately 2.7 per cent more than the previous year, totalling around 40.34 million hectares. This figure surpasses the normal area covered under paddy, which averages 39.94 million hectares over the past five years.