John Curtice discusses the rise of Reform UK
0 seconds of 1 minute, 27 seconds Volume 0%
Press shift question mark to access a list of keyboard shortcuts Keyboard Shortcuts EnabledDisabled
Shortcuts Open/Close / or ?
Play/Pause SPACE
Increase Volume ↑
Decrease Volume ↓
Seek Forward →
Seek Backward ←
Captions On/Off c
Fullscreen/Exit Fullscreen f
Mute/Unmute m
Decrease Caption Size -
Increase Caption Size + or =
Seek % 0-9
Next Up
Hoyle slams government over defence spending announcement
02:57
x facebook Email Link https://cdn.jwplayer.com/previews/zeM9d9yS Copied
Auto540p 720p 540p 360p 270p 180p
Live
00:16
01:11
01:27
More Videos
02:57
Hoyle slams government over defence spending announcement
01:58
Six charged with criminal offences over Hillsborough disaster
00:40
GB News: Moment Partick Christys doused with water
00:44
Liverpool: Paul Doyle charged with seven offences after parade
00:43
GMB reporter discusses the Liverpool parade incident
00:54
Emmanuel Macron appears to clash with his wife in Vietnam
Close
Nigel Farage's Reform UK has taken away the "Johnsonian coalition" that led the Tories to a landslide election victory, according to Britain's top pollster. Professor Sir John Curtice said the insurgent party had won over the voters that backed Boris Johnson in the 2019 general election.
He told Times Radio: "Basically what Reform have done is to take away from the Conservatives the Johnsonian coalition that delivered them victory in 2019 that Nigel Farage would argue he loaned to Boris Johnson by standing down in Tory-held seats.
Article continues below ADVERTISEMENT
10 VA Benefits So Generous They Seem FakeProud Veteran Savings | Search Ads | Sponsored Sponsored
Learn More
Undo
DON'T MISS
Powered by
Keir Starmer won't fool anyone with his claim to be the champion of working people
56 Comments
Reform wins two by-elections in fresh blow to Keir Starmer and Kemi Badenoch
112 Comments
Buoyant Nigel Farage issues six word plea to help him become PM
449 Comments
Andrew Neil issues major prediction as Reform UK takes huge poll lead
233 Comments
Andrew Neil brutally tears apart Keir Starmer over Nigel Farage speech
167 Comments
I worked with Alex Salmond - here's how I think Reform UK are doing in Scotland
39 Comments
Rachel Reeves to tear up spending rules amid Labour panic over Reform
90 Comments
Nigel Farage delivers new blow to Labour and Tories ahead of crunch Scottish by-election
34 Comments
Ed Miliband admits he could lose seat to Nigel Farage's Reform UK
152 Comments
I live in the Red Wall - and voters won't forgive Nigel Farage's latest move
148 Comments
Humiliation for SNP as Nigel Farage's Reform UK now level in shock new by-election poll
139 Comments
Nigel Farage is creating a nightmare for Rachel Reeves
178 Comments
Nigel Farage plans visit ahead of by-election as Reform hopes to crush SNP and Labour
269 Comments
Bridget Phillipson skewered in Sky News grilling as winter fuel U-turn detail confirmed
220 Comments
Seniors Can Now Fly Business Class For the Price Of EconomyInsider | Travel Deals | Sponsored Sponsored
Undo
Bombshell new poll predicts Nigel Farage on course to win next general election
296 Comments
Nigel Farage warns 'it's over' as new map shows Tories with just 10 seats in Commons
222 Comments
Could Thuma Be the Furniture Brand I’ve Been Missing? My Journey to Discover Minimalist DesignThuma | Sponsored Sponsored
Learn More
Undo
Nigel Farage takes savage swipe at Kemi Badenoch with three-word warning
213 Comments
I was in the room for Keir Starmer's Farage-bashing speech - PM is taking one massive risk
658 Comments
Nevada Cardiologists: How To Lose A Hanging Tummy QuicklyHealth Wellness Journal | Sponsored Sponsored
Watch More
Undo
Nigel Farage to issue huge challenge to Keir Starmer in major speech
471 Comments
POLL: Should Boris Johnson return to politics? Vote here
225 Comments
How Rich Is David Rubenstein At 74Cash Roadster | Sponsored Sponsored
Undo
Keir Starmer won't fool anyone with his claim to be the champion of working people
56 Comments
Reform wins two by-elections in fresh blow to Keir Starmer and Kemi Badenoch
112 Comments
God’s people need youIFCJ | The Fellowship | Sponsored Sponsored
Donate Now
Undo
Buoyant Nigel Farage issues six word plea to help him become PM
449 Comments
Andrew Neil issues major prediction as Reform UK takes huge poll lead
233 Comments
I’m partnering with IFCJIFCJ | The Fellowship | Sponsored Sponsored
Donate Now
Undo
Andrew Neil brutally tears apart Keir Starmer over Nigel Farage speech
167 Comments
I worked with Alex Salmond - here's how I think Reform UK are doing in Scotland
39 Comments
Scarlett Johansson, 40, Shows Off Her Real Size In A New PhotosGamesWaka | Sponsored Sponsored
Undo
Rachel Reeves to tear up spending rules amid Labour panic over Reform
90 Comments
Nigel Farage delivers new blow to Labour and Tories ahead of crunch Scottish by-election
34 Comments
Swollen Prostate? Do This Every Morning And Feel The Change In Just Days!Health Benefits | Sponsored Sponsored
Undo
Ed Miliband admits he could lose seat to Nigel Farage's Reform UK
152 Comments
I live in the Red Wall - and voters won't forgive Nigel Farage's latest move
148 Comments
This Tiny Camera is Replacing Security Systems—No Fees, No WiresSecret Scope Camera | Sponsored Sponsored
Learn More
Undo
Humiliation for SNP as Nigel Farage's Reform UK now level in shock new by-election poll
139 Comments
Nigel Farage is creating a nightmare for Rachel Reeves
178 Comments
40 Rules 'Survivor' Contestants Have to FollowCosmopolitan | Sponsored Sponsored
Undo
Nigel Farage plans visit ahead of by-election as Reform hopes to crush SNP and Labour
269 Comments
Bridget Phillipson skewered in Sky News grilling as winter fuel U-turn detail confirmed
220 Comments
Bombshell new poll predicts Nigel Farage on course to win next general election
296 Comments
Nigel Farage warns 'it's over' as new map shows Tories with just 10 seats in Commons
222 Comments
Nigel Farage takes savage swipe at Kemi Badenoch with three-word warning
213 Comments
I was in the room for Keir Starmer's Farage-bashing speech - PM is taking one massive risk
658 Comments
Nigel Farage to issue huge challenge to Keir Starmer in major speech
471 Comments
POLL: Should Boris Johnson return to politics? Vote here
225 Comments
Keir Starmer won't fool anyone with his claim to be the champion of working people
56 Comments
Reform wins two by-elections in fresh blow to Keir Starmer and Kemi Badenoch
112 Comments
Buoyant Nigel Farage issues six word plea to help him become PM
449 Comments
Andrew Neil issues major prediction as Reform UK takes huge poll lead
233 Comments
Andrew Neil brutally tears apart Keir Starmer over Nigel Farage speech
167 Comments
I worked with Alex Salmond - here's how I think Reform UK are doing in Scotland
39 Comments
Rachel Reeves to tear up spending rules amid Labour panic over Reform
90 Comments
"Now as a result that section of our society which swung behind the Conservatives in 2019 have swung behind Reform and that is still a significant section which at the moment because it's concentrating behind Reform as opposed to being fragmented between the Conservatives and Reform 12 months ago now presents a challenge frankly to all the other parties."
Professor Sir John Curtice (Image: TIMES RADIO)
Reform UK leader Nigel Farage (Image: Getty)
Don't miss... Nigel Farage issues savage verdict on 'terrified' Keir Starmer [LATEST]
Prof Curtice said Reform is polling at an average of around 30-31% at the moment, ahead of Labour on 23% and the Tories on 18%.
He said this would be enough to be the largest party in Westminster at the next election due to the first past the post electoral system.
Sponsored
La Compagnie | Sponsored Sponsored
Book Now
Fly New York to Paris in Luxury with La Compagnie
Undo
Prof Curtice said: "We already know from the local elections that 30-31% for Reform and running way ahead of everyone else means that rather than being a disadvantage to them as it was last summer, the electoral system is likely to prove beneficial to them.
"Now whether that will be enough to get an overall majority or not, certainly they would be easily the biggest party at least and probably very difficult to think of any government being formed other than by Nigel Farage.
"It's not that they are 30-31% which is not a particularly high figure by historical standards, it's that they are seven, eight, points ahead of Labour and 13 points ahead of the Conservatives, therefore they are going to come first in a lot of constituencies."
Prof Curtice added that Mr Farage's "road to number 10 is to carry on doing what he's doing".
He went on: "Eventually he has to come up with more in the way of a governmental programme and hope that the incumbent government fails to improve the economy, fails to turn around the health service and therefore as a result we are looking at an electorate which is still deeply unhappy and might therefore try something else.
"His problem of course is not all of those things are in his hands to control."
Prime Minister Sir Keir Starmer (Image: Getty)
SUBSCRIBE Invalid email
We use your sign-up to provide content in ways you've consented to and to improve our understanding of you. This may include adverts from us and 3rd parties based on our understanding. You can unsubscribe at any time. Read our Privacy Policy
Trending
Prof Curtice also warned Sir Keir Starmer faces a major headache as he loses voters to Reform and parties on the left such as the Greens.
He said: "About 16% of the people who voted for Labour last time are now saying they'd vote for Reform or the Conservatives, most of those saying Reform.
"But equally there are 18% of people saying they would now vote Liberal Democrat or Green.
"You can see Labour's problem. Labour's problem is that the coalition of the 35% that they assembled 12 months ago is fracturing in two directions.
DON'T MISS
Powered by
Keir Starmer won't fool anyone with his claim to be the champion of working people
56 Comments
Reform wins two by-elections in fresh blow to Keir Starmer and Kemi Badenoch
112 Comments
Buoyant Nigel Farage issues six word plea to help him become PM
449 Comments
Andrew Neil issues major prediction as Reform UK takes huge poll lead
233 Comments
Andrew Neil brutally tears apart Keir Starmer over Nigel Farage speech
167 Comments
I worked with Alex Salmond - here's how I think Reform UK are doing in Scotland
39 Comments
Rachel Reeves to tear up spending rules amid Labour panic over Reform
90 Comments
Nigel Farage delivers new blow to Labour and Tories ahead of crunch Scottish by-election
34 Comments
Ed Miliband admits he could lose seat to Nigel Farage's Reform UK
152 Comments
I live in the Red Wall - and voters won't forgive Nigel Farage's latest move
148 Comments
Humiliation for SNP as Nigel Farage's Reform UK now level in shock new by-election poll
139 Comments
Nigel Farage is creating a nightmare for Rachel Reeves
178 Comments
Nigel Farage plans visit ahead of by-election as Reform hopes to crush SNP and Labour
269 Comments
Bridget Phillipson skewered in Sky News grilling as winter fuel U-turn detail confirmed
220 Comments
7 Ways To Help Generate Income Once Your Portfolio Reaches $1,000,000Fisher Investments | Sponsored Sponsored
Learn More
Undo
Bombshell new poll predicts Nigel Farage on course to win next general election
296 Comments
Nigel Farage warns 'it's over' as new map shows Tories with just 10 seats in Commons
222 Comments
Natural Oil Helps Against Nail FungusGoodbye Nail Fungus! | Sponsored Sponsored
Undo
Nigel Farage takes savage swipe at Kemi Badenoch with three-word warning
212 Comments
I was in the room for Keir Starmer's Farage-bashing speech - PM is taking one massive risk
658 Comments
Hoda Kotb, 60, Takes off Her Makeup and Leaves Us Without Words.WooryFood | Sponsored Sponsored
Undo
Nigel Farage to issue huge challenge to Keir Starmer in major speech
471 Comments
POLL: Should Boris Johnson return to politics? Vote here
225 Comments
Scarlett Johansson, 40, Shows Off Her Real Size In A New Vacation Photos33 Bridges | Sponsored Sponsored
Undo
Keir Starmer won't fool anyone with his claim to be the champion of working people
56 Comments
Reform wins two by-elections in fresh blow to Keir Starmer and Kemi Badenoch
112 Comments
David Rubenstein's Inheritance Makes The HeadlinesCash Roadster | Sponsored Sponsored
Undo
Buoyant Nigel Farage issues six word plea to help him become PM
449 Comments
Andrew Neil issues major prediction as Reform UK takes huge poll lead
233 Comments
Skyrizi vs. Taltz for Plaque Psoriasis and Psoriatic Arthritis: Important Differences and Potential Risks.GoodRx | Sponsored Sponsored
Undo
Andrew Neil brutally tears apart Keir Starmer over Nigel Farage speech
167 Comments
I worked with Alex Salmond - here's how I think Reform UK are doing in Scotland
39 Comments
What to Know About Taltz for Psoriatic Arthritis: Dosing, Side Effects, and MoreGoodRx | Sponsored Sponsored
Learn More
Undo
Rachel Reeves to tear up spending rules amid Labour panic over Reform
90 Comments
Nigel Farage delivers new blow to Labour and Tories ahead of crunch Scottish by-election
34 Comments
The Bronx estate where JFK lived as a child seeks $6.4 millionHomes.com | Sponsored Sponsored
Undo
Ed Miliband admits he could lose seat to Nigel Farage's Reform UK
152 Comments
I live in the Red Wall - and voters won't forgive Nigel Farage's latest move
148 Comments
Historic Figures Who Were Actually PhotographedGloriousa | Sponsored Sponsored
Undo
Humiliation for SNP as Nigel Farage's Reform UK now level in shock new by-election poll
139 Comments
Nigel Farage is creating a nightmare for Rachel Reeves
178 Comments
3 Warning Signs Your Body Is Stuck In Fat-Storage Modeherbodhi.com | Sponsored Sponsored
Learn More
Undo
Nigel Farage plans visit ahead of by-election as Reform hopes to crush SNP and Labour
269 Comments
Bridget Phillipson skewered in Sky News grilling as winter fuel U-turn detail confirmed
220 Comments
Bombshell new poll predicts Nigel Farage on course to win next general election
296 Comments
Nigel Farage warns 'it's over' as new map shows Tories with just 10 seats in Commons
222 Comments
Nigel Farage takes savage swipe at Kemi Badenoch with three-word warning
212 Comments
I was in the room for Keir Starmer's Farage-bashing speech - PM is taking one massive risk
658 Comments
Nigel Farage to issue huge challenge to Keir Starmer in major speech
471 Comments
POLL: Should Boris Johnson return to politics? Vote here
225 Comments
Keir Starmer won't fool anyone with his claim to be the champion of working people
56 Comments
Reform wins two by-elections in fresh blow to Keir Starmer and Kemi Badenoch
112 Comments
Buoyant Nigel Farage issues six word plea to help him become PM
449 Comments
Andrew Neil issues major prediction as Reform UK takes huge poll lead
233 Comments
Andrew Neil brutally tears apart Keir Starmer over Nigel Farage speech
167 Comments
I worked with Alex Salmond - here's how I think Reform UK are doing in Scotland
39 Comments
Rachel Reeves to tear up spending rules amid Labour panic over Reform
90 Comments
They Were So Beautiful Before; Now Look At Them; Number 10 Will Shock YouReportingly
Undo
by Taboola by Taboola
Sponsored Links Sponsored Links
Promoted Links Promoted Links
Study Reveals: 'Bad' Dogs Are Just Anxious (20-Min Simple Fix)Wagnific
Undo
by Taboola by Taboola
Sponsored Links Sponsored Links
Promoted Links Promoted Links
Side Sleepers With Neck Pain: Try This "Pillow Trick" TonightSleep Digest Publication
Undo
by Taboola by Taboola
Sponsored Links Sponsored Links
Promoted Links Promoted Links
No More Finger Pricks! Seniors Are Switching to This Easy Glucose MonitorGlucose Monitor
Undo
by Taboola by Taboola
Sponsored Links Sponsored Links
Promoted Links Promoted Links
"So Labour want to get support for Reform down for obvious reason, but Labour can't ignore the fact that they're also losing votes just as heavily to what we might call the more progressive wing of our politics.
"To that extent while Reform pose the greater immediate threat to Labour in terms of seats, they need to realise that in order to get the votes that they might need to deal with that they've got to avoid losing votes on the more progressive end of politics which does leave them with a very difficult problem."
It comes as Reform, which currently has five MPs, has been riding high in national opinion polls following its success in the local elections in England earlier this month.