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       Today’s daily digit

       A somewhat subjective rating of the day’s weather, on a scale of 0 to 10.

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       6/10: Unseasonable warmth well into the 70s is a nice change? Clouds, a few showers and a gusty breeze try to help adjust our bodies coming out of winter.

       Express forecast

       Today: Warm with an occasional shower possible. Windy. Highs: Mid- to upper 70s. Tonight: Slackening wind, slight chance of evening shower. Lows: Mid-50s to low 60s. Tomorrow: Very warm with a gusty breeze ad late-day showers. Highs: Upper 70s to low 80s.

       Forecast in detail

       Today and tomorrow are the warmest days of the year so far. We could tie or exceed record high temperatures. The warmth is accompanied by clouds and the chance of a few showers today, some gusty breezes and a likely band of showers late tomorrow. March temperatures and brighter sunshine return Tuesday, then we turn chilly and potentially rainy on Wednesday.

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       Today (Sunday): A warm breeze from the southwest blows around 10 to 20 mph, with gusts near 25 to 35 mph. That sends morning temperatures rising through the 50s and 60s, with afternoon highs reaching the mid- to upper 70s despite mostly cloudy skies. An occasional shower could spoil the warmth at times. We’re talking highs at least 20 degrees above average, which should easily beat the day’s record high of 70 at Dulles International Airport, and could also tie or exceed the record high of 76 at Baltimore-Washington International Marshall Airport. (However, we should fall short of the record high of 81 at Reagan National Airport.) Confidence: Medium-High

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       Tonight: Temperatures and winds slowly decrease. Mostly cloudy skies continue, as well as a slight chance of a quick shower or two. A few southwesterly gusts around 25 mph are possible early in the evening before winds slacken a bit. During the early-morning hours, we should bottom out briefly in the mid-50s to low 60s. Confidence: Medium-High

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       Tomorrow (Monday): Record warmth is likely, with high temperatures eyeing the upper 70s to low 80s. (The record highs to beat are 77 at National, and 76 at Dulles Airport and BWI.) Partly sunny morning skies see increasing afternoon clouds, with showers moving in from the northwest mid- to late afternoon, maybe even a rumble of thunder. Winds from the southwest may be even stronger than today, perhaps gusting near 40 mph during the afternoon. Confidence: Medium-High

       Tomorrow night: Showers are likely during the evening, with rain chances diminishing overnight, before skies try to partially clear toward dawn. Breezes should slowly decrease from evening gusts near 35 mph to near-dawn gusts at or below 20 mph. Winds shift to come from the northwest by late evening and overnight as a cold front moves through, dropping low temperatures to mid-40s. Confidence: Medium

       A look ahead

       Temperatures begin their cool-down Tuesday, with daytime highs topping out in the low to mid-50s. March finally feels like March again! Skies should be partly sunny and winds from the north-northwest could be breezy at times. Confidence: Medium

       Rain chances are on the rise again heading into Wednesday as temperatures continue to cool. We are likely to be stuck in the raw-feeling 40s to near 50 all day thanks to cloudy skies and a cool onshore breeze from the east. Stay tuned for forecast tweaks as we get a better idea of how rainy it might be. Confidence: Low-Medium

       Read more about Capital Weather Gang’s confidence rating.