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How did you find today’s falling temperatures, occasional winds and drying air? At least temperatures were still mild enough and near-average. Our classic late-fall weekend continues tomorrow with more sunshine, slightly milder air and some breeziness. Rain-free conditions also continue; see drought and deficit updates below.
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Through tonight: Clear and slowly calming, with west-northwest breezes down toward 5 mph near dawn. This gives a wide potential range of temperatures in the region. Near 30 degrees for coldest spots, to perhaps mid- to upper 30s around the Beltway.
View the current weather at The Washington Post.
Tomorrow (Sunday): Sunshine continues its rule, at least one final day, capping off a bright weekend. A few west-northwest breezes could still gust near 20 mph, but overall a less breezy day than Saturday. We should be able to get at least a couple of degrees warmer, into the mid-50s to around 60 degrees in the warmest spots. Overnight, we dip back into familiar near-30 to mid-30s temperature territory, with only a slow increase in cloud cover before dawn. Light north and northeast breezes may blow.
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Rain deficit and drought briefing: Elevated wildfire risk continues
Dry conditions persist. One effect, advised by the National Weather Service (NWS), is an “elevated risk for the spread of wildfires due to low relative humidity values, recent drought conditions, and gusty northwesterly winds.” We are continuously tracking 1 to 2 inches below average rainfall (darker yellow shading below) in just the shorter-term rainfall deficit over the past two weeks.
D3 “Extreme Drought” has expanded in the Blue Ridge Mountains (with D4 being the worst “Exceptional” drought level). We still have periodic smoke in the region from hot spots and blazes that have popped up in these conditions. Let’s continue to pin some hope on Tuesday and Tuesday night’s rain chance, which has luckily been a persistent feature in the upcoming forecast.
Remainder of NWS statement on cautions to be exercised in these conditions:
Residents and visitors are urged to exercise caution if handling open flames or equipment that creates sparks. Also, dispose of cigarette butts, matches, and other flammable items in appropriate containers. Keep vehicles off of dry grass and obey local burn bans.
Most dry grasses, dead leaves, and other tree litter could easily ignite and spread fire quickly. Outdoor burning is strongly discouraged.
— National Weather Service
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