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Brutal poll shows public do not trust Keir Starmer to stop small boats

2024-05-17 00:00:00.0 每日快报-政治原网页

Keir Starmer sets out Labour's small boats plan

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Voters overwhelmingly do not trust Sir Keir Starmer to bring down migration or tackle the small boats crisis, polling has found.

The Labour leader has failed to inspire confidence in his plans to reduce dangerous Channel crossings despite a major speech near Dover last week promising action.

Our new monthly poll tracking the opinions of the nation also found voters do not believe the economy will boom under Sir Keir.

Andrew Hawkins, chief executive officer at Whitestone Insight, said: “The potential trouble brewing for Labour is that fewer than one in five voters expect them to be able to fix immigration and voters appear unenthusiastic about what Labour will do for the economy.

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“For Labour, the opportunity is to show voters they have underestimated them. But this poll does reinforce the view that the UK is heading for a change in government because the Conservatives are tired, rather than because voters love the Labour Party.”

Fewer than one in five voters believe Sir Keir will reduce the number of people arriving on Britain's shores in small boats, the Whitestone Insight poll found.

Only one in 10 think the Labour leader will reduce the number of legal migrants, with net migration hitting a record 745,000 in 2022.

A third of the public believe both will get higher if Labour takes power.

The results will come as a huge blow to Sir Keir, who took a major gamble when he admitted hardline Conservative MP Natalie Elphicke into his party last week.

It caused shockwaves in Labour, with those on the hard-Left furious that the leader had admitted Ms Elphicke into the fold while Jeremy Corbyn and ex-frontbencher Diane Abbott have not had the party whip restored.

Sir Keir used the defection to flex Labour’s muscles on migration, hosting a press conference in Ms Elphicke’s Kent coast constituency to set out his plans for a Border Security Command to co-ordinate efforts to halt the crossings."

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Sir Keir vowed to “materially” reduce the number of Channel crossings but, when asked when the crisis would end, said he would not put a “false number” on his plans.

The Labour leader warned people smugglers: “These shores will become hostile territory for you – we will find you.”

He also announced he would scrap the Government’s Rwanda deportation policy on day one of a Labour administration and put the money being spent on it into other measures to tackle the issue.

But our poll found 32 percent of voters believe crossings will increase, while 34 percent think they will remain the same.

A third also believe legal migration will rise under Labour. Four in 10 expect it to stay at the level it is now.

Voters are also sceptical about Labour’s ability to deal with the economy, the study found.

About one in four believe mortgage rates and house prices will all go up if Sir Keir wins power.

Some 55 percent fear inflation will rise or stay the same, with just 24 percent predicting it will fall.

Worryingly for Labour, even on its home territory of the NHS, more than half think waiting lists will go up or continue at the same level they already are, with just a third predicting a fall.

Overall voting intentions continue to see Labour stride ahead on 44 percent, compared with the Conservatives on 24 percent.

It would translate intoa 288-seat Labour majority, with Sir Keir securing 469 seats, the Conservatives 102, and the Liberal Democrats 34. Reform UK would fail to take any.

Of voters who backed the Tories under Boris Johnson, 53 percent will stick with the party, while 17 percent intend to vote Labour and 21 percent are backing Reform.

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Mr Hawkins said the voting intentions showed the country has decided it is time for a change.

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He added that the survey "confirms the hole that the Conservatives are in".

He said: “The last time the average Conservative vote share was 30 percent or above was back in September 2022. Labour’s average vote share has moderated back from nudging 50 percent at the end of 2022, but it would appear the country has decided that it is simply time for a change.”

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