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China’s economy stabilises
2021-11-16 00:00:00.0     星报-商业     原网页

       

       BEIJING: China’s economy performed better than expected in October as retail sales and industrial output beat estimates, relieving concern a property slump was broadening.

       Industrial output rose 3.5% in October from a year earlier, according to the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS), faster than September’s reading and higher than economists’ expectations.

       Retail sales growth accelerated to 4.9%, above the 3.7% estimate in a Bloomberg survey of economists.

       Growth in fixed-asset investment eased to 6.1% in the first 10 months of the year, compared with a forecast of 6.2%. The surveyed jobless rate was steady at 4.9%.

       The better-than-expected numbers will come as a relief after the economy’s momentum weakened in the second half of the year, with both demand and supply coming under pressure.

       Beijing’s crackdown on the property market has slowed lending to a sector that accounts for as much as 25% of gross domestic product (GDP), while energy shortages have caused factories to curb production.

       “The national economy was generally stable and maintained the trend of recovery,” the NBS said in a statement.

       “However, we must be aware that the international environment is still complicated and severe with many unstable and uncertain factors.”

       Separate data from the NBS showed home prices in China fell for a second month in October as a property slump deepens.

       New-home prices in 70 cities, excluding state-subsidised housing, slid 0.25% last month from September, when they fell 0.08%, NBS figures showed yesterday.

       Values in the secondary market declined 0.32%, the biggest drop since February 2015.

       Falling prices may dissuade homebuyers concerned about the value of their assets, making it harder for developers to sell properties and generate much-needed cash.

       A liquidity crisis at industry giant China Evergrande Group is spreading to its competitors, which are struggling to refinance their debts, particularly in the offshore junk dollar bond market.

       Speculation is mounting that regulators may ease their clampdown on leverage in the industry. Bonds rose late last week after a series of articles published in state media signalled support measures are on the way to help developers tap debt markets. The central bank highlighted that mortgages to homeowners stabilised in September in a rare statement last week.

       Still, China’s banking regulator said late Friday that the government will continue to curb the “financialisation of real estate” and prevent bubbles in the sector.

       It will maintain stable prices of land and housing, the China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission said in a statement.

       The CSI 300 Index maintained its loss after the data dump, down 0.3% as of 10:04am in Shanghai yesterday.

       The slowdown has put the spotlight back on policy makers, who have so far taken a muted approach to stimulus, preferring to “fine-tune” policies rather than flood the economy with support.

       In line with that approach, the People’s Bank of China refrained from injecting additional cash into the financial system in its monthly liquidity operation yesterday, rolling over all the loans maturing instead.

       Most economists expect Beijing to stick with the property curbs, resulting in weaker growth into next year.

       GDP growth is expected to slow to 3.5% in the final quarter, reach 8% for the full year and weaken to 5.4% in 2022, according to a Bloomberg survey of economists. — Bloomberg

       


标签:综合
关键词: yesterday     October     Retail sales growth     property     industrial output     prices     economists    
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