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       How Russian and Chinese Interference Could Affect the 2024 Election

       The stakes for Russia in the presidential vote are large. Other adversaries also might try to deepen divisions among American voters.

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       Voters casting ballots in November. Russia appears to be paying close attention to the 2024 election, as its war in Ukraine is soon to enter a third year. Credit...Kirsten Luce for The New York Times

       By Julian E. Barnes

       Reporting from Washington

       Dec. 24, 2023, 3:00 a.m. ET

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       The U.S. government is preparing for its adversaries to intensify efforts to influence American voters next year. Russia has huge stakes in the presidential election. China seems poised to back a more aggressive campaign. Other countries, like Iran, might again try to sow division in the United States.

       As Washington looks ahead to the 2024 vote, U.S. intelligence agencies last week released a report on the 2022 midterm elections — a document that gives us some hints about what might be to come.

       Spy agencies concluded Russia favored Trump in 2016. What about in 2024? Subscribe to The Times to read as many articles as you like.

       Julian E. Barnes covers the U.S. intelligence agencies and international security matters for The Times. He has written about security issues for more than two decades. More about Julian E. Barnes

       A version of this article appears in print on Dec. 24, 2023, Section A , Page 19 of the New York edition with the headline: Influence Russia and China Might Have on ’24 Election . Order Reprints | Today’s Paper | Subscribe

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