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Reform UK handed massive win as two-thirds of punters bet on them to win most seats
2024-12-11 00:00:00.0     每日快报-政治     原网页

       

       Billionaire Nick Candy is now backing Reform UK. (Image: Getty)

       Nigel Farage's Reform UK has been handed a massive win after it was revealed that two-thirds of punters have bet on the party winning the most seats at the next general election.

       The vote is due to be held in 2029, but plenty of people already have high expectations and have put their money where their mouths are.

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       The billionaire Nick Candy defected from backing the Conservatives to Reform UK yesterday.

       Since then, Oddschecker says betting interest in the new political party has "surged significantly".

       The betting aggregator says that 67% of bets placed through the platform in the past 24 hours have backed Reform UK to win the most seats at the next general election.

       READ MORE: Reform slaps down claims of electoral pacts with the Tories in local elections [LA]

       Nigel Farage was one of five Reform UK candidates who won seats in the House of Commons in July. (Image: Getty)

       Reform UK is currently listed as the third favourite to win the election in the betting at odds of 5/2, having opened at 12/1 when the market launched in mid-August.

       But, since the betting opened on Oddschecker, the company says that 53% of all bets placed have backed Reform, compared to 24% for the Conservatives and 23% for Labour.

       According to current odds, Reform UK’s implied probability of winning the most seats has "surged" by more than 3.5 times.

       However, bookmakers still expect Keir Starmer to remain in power following the next election, experts say, with odds of 4/6 indicating a 57.5% probability.

       Trending

       Sir Keir Starmer's Labour Party won more than 400 seats at the General Election. (Image: Getty)

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       In addition, there has been a "notable increase in bets" on Starmer’s exit date, with growing support for him to leave office in 2025.

       This has prompted odds to shorten from 3/1 to 11/4. To win a general election, a party needs to achieve an overall majority of 650 seats in the House of Commons.

       DON'T MISS

       Powered by

       Reform's new Treasurer isn't a household name but Tories and Labour should be scared

       778 Comments

       Reform UK surge shows British people want to send a message to Keir Starmer

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       Nigel Farage has just one question to ask himself after Reform UK surge

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       Nigel Farage fires huge warning to Tories and says 'half your MPs should be in Reform'

       484 Comments

       Shock poll shows Labour heartland fall to Reform in blow to Starmer - full list of seats

       315 Comments

       Keir Starmer humiliated as former Labour MP warns PM will be ousted and 'won't survive'

       917 Comments

       Lee Anderson's stern nine-word warning to the Left as Nigel Farage secures his biggest win

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       Nigel Farage's Reform surges to new high in bombshell poll

       400 Comments

       How Reform can crush Labour at next election - even without backing from Elon Musk

       312 Comments

       Why Nigel Farage could be rubbing hands with glee despite James Clevery lossing Tory race

       69 Comments

       Reform ‘a big threat' warns Suella Braverman as she blasts Tory MP ‘complacency'

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       BBC's Laura Kuenssberg skewers Angela Rayner as Labour's popularity 'falls of a cliff'

       518 Comments

       Andrew Neil backs Nigel Farage as he tips Reform to crush Labour at next election

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       Labour in crisis as new stats show Keir Starmer haemorrhaging council seats

       331 Comments

       Shocking new map shows 100 seats Labour will lose in next General Election - full list

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       Nigel Farage declares 'sky is the limit' for Reform UK in bombshell new video

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       Reform's new Treasurer isn't a household name but Tories and Labour should be scared

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       Reform UK surge shows British people want to send a message to Keir Starmer

       87 Comments

       Nigel Farage has just one question to ask himself after Reform UK surge

       675 Comments

       Nigel Farage fires huge warning to Tories and says 'half your MPs should be in Reform'

       484 Comments

       Shock poll shows Labour heartland fall to Reform in blow to Starmer - full list of seats

       315 Comments

       Keir Starmer humiliated as former Labour MP warns PM will be ousted and 'won't survive'

       917 Comments

       Lee Anderson's stern nine-word warning to the Left as Nigel Farage secures his biggest win

       44 Comments

       Nigel Farage's Reform surges to new high in bombshell poll

       400 Comments

       How Reform can crush Labour at next election - even without backing from Elon Musk

       312 Comments

       Why Nigel Farage could be rubbing hands with glee despite James Clevery lossing Tory race

       69 Comments

       Reform ‘a big threat' warns Suella Braverman as she blasts Tory MP ‘complacency'

       44 Comments

       BBC's Laura Kuenssberg skewers Angela Rayner as Labour's popularity 'falls of a cliff'

       518 Comments

       Andrew Neil backs Nigel Farage as he tips Reform to crush Labour at next election

       315 Comments

       Labour in crisis as new stats show Keir Starmer haemorrhaging council seats

       331 Comments

       Shocking new map shows 100 seats Labour will lose in next General Election - full list

       607 Comments

       Nigel Farage's Reform UK scoffs at suggestion of pact with ‘broken' Tories

       55 Comments

       Huge boost to Nigel Farage's PM hopes as major milestone reached

       227 Comments

       Farage makes shock prediction about fate of Tory party and it's not good news for Kemi

       202 Comments

       Nigel Farage declares 'sky is the limit' for Reform UK in bombshell new video

       181 Comments

       Billionaire Tony donor joins Nigel Farage's Reform UK in huge blow for Kemi Badenach

       500 Comments

       Reform's new Treasurer isn't a household name but Tories and Labour should be scared

       778 Comments

       Reform UK surge shows British people want to send a message to Keir Starmer

       87 Comments

       Nigel Farage has just one question to ask himself after Reform UK surge

       675 Comments

       Nigel Farage fires huge warning to Tories and says 'half your MPs should be in Reform'

       484 Comments

       Shock poll shows Labour heartland fall to Reform in blow to Starmer - full list of seats

       315 Comments

       Keir Starmer humiliated as former Labour MP warns PM will be ousted and 'won't survive'

       917 Comments

       Lee Anderson's stern nine-word warning to the Left as Nigel Farage secures his biggest win

       44 Comments

       The Labour Party won 411 of the constituencies in July. Reform UK has five MPs.

       Oddschecker spokesperson Leon Blackman said: “Reform UK has already been a dominant force in our political betting markets in recent months, and yesterday’s announcement of Nick Candy’s defection has triggered another wave of market activity. In the past 24 hours alone, 67% of bets placed on the ‘Most Seats’ market has backed Reform UK.

       Bookmakers had responded swiftly, cutting the party’s odds from 7/2 to 5/2, marking the shortest price since the market launched in mid-August when Reform UK was available at 12/1. With momentum building, it will be interesting to see how betting markets continue to react to this news in the coming weeks.”

       


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