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Russian troops intervene in protest-roiled Kazakhstan, where security forces have killed dozens of demonstrators
2022-01-06 00:00:00.0     华盛顿邮报-世界     原网页

       MOSCOW — Russian troops landed in Kazakhstan on Thursday after the Central Asian country’s president asked for help to quell sweeping anti-government protests — a major test of a Moscow-led military alliance as the Kremlin deepened its role in the crisis.

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       “Dozens” of demonstrators were killed, a Kazakh official said, as local security forces tried to put down protests that began with outrage over a fuel price increase but have grown into a challenge to a political system largely unchanged since the end of the Soviet Union three decades ago.

       It is the first time the Collective Security Treaty Organization, founded after the dissolution of the Soviet Union and composed of six former members, has agreed to deploy “peacekeepers” to aid a member country. Although the bloc has long been seen as Russia’s answer to NATO, its first joint action is ending a domestic protest rather than combating an attack from an external force.

       Here’s what you need to know about Kazakhstan’s unrest

       Overall, the alliance dispatched about 2,500 peacekeepers to Kazakhstan, the group’s secretary general, Stanislav Zas, told the Russian state new agency RIA. The report did not give a breakdown on nationalities.

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       The stakes are especially high for Russia, effectively the leader of the alliance, as its presence risks alienating a public that is demanding a change in Kazakhstan’s regime but has yet to show any anti-Russian sentiment.

       The unrest also comes at a fraught time for the Kremlin, amid a troop buildup near the Ukraine border and ahead of negotiations next week with the United States about guarantees Russia has demanded from NATO that it not expand or cooperate with ex-Soviet countries.

       The tensions, now both at Russia’s southwestern border and its southeastern one, underscore the challenges for Moscow in maintaining what it considers its sphere of influence: Ukraine, Belarus, Moldova, Central Asia and the Caucasus countries of Armenia, Azerbaijan and Georgia — all former members of the Soviet Union.

       A Russian-led security alliance landed in Kazakhstan on Jan. 6 to help quell violent and deadly anti-government protests. (Reuters)

       “If you have great power ambitions, please show what you can do on several fronts. Many others failed to that,” Alexander Baunov of the Carnegie Moscow Center said on Twitter.

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       “Kazakhstan will test Russia’s actual capabilities. It will be both distracting and sobering,” he added.

       The demonstrations began over the weekend in Kazakhstan’s oil-rich western region over high energy prices and then spread elsewhere, including Almaty, the country’s largest city. Protesters on Wednesday set city halls across the country ablaze and briefly took over the Almaty airport. Part of their anger appeared to be aimed at Nursultan Nazarbayev, the country’s authoritarian former president, who continues to exert significant power behind the scenes under the official title of “father of the nation.”

       An Almaty Police Department representative told local media Thursday that “extremist forces” attempted to storm several government buildings, including the police department. Video from Russia’s Tass state news agency showed armed security forces opening fire near the main square of Almaty.

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       “Dozens of attackers have been eliminated, their identities are being established,” said spokeswoman Saltanat Azirbek, according to Russian news agency Interfax. Police have detained about 2,000 people in Almaty, the Interior Ministry said.

       There were been multiple reports of gunfire around the city throughout the day, and on Thursday evening Almaty police reported that additional “terrorists” were killed outside the Almalinksy district police station.

       At least eight law enforcement officers have been killed, according to the Interior Ministry. More than 1,000 people have been injured in the protests, the Health Ministry said Thursday, 400 of whom have been hospitalized, with 62 in intensive care.

       Kazakhstan’s Internet was blacked out Thursday and national banking services reportedly were suspended.

       On Wednesday evening, Belarusian President Alexander Lukashenko’s office announced that he spoke by phone with Russian President Vladimir Putin and afterward Kazakh President Kassym-Jomart Tokayev. Hours later, Tokayev appealed for support from the CSTO and claimed that “foreign-trained terrorist gangs were seizing buildings, infrastructure and weapons.” He did not offer evidence or specify which countries were behind the purported plot.

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       “He justified the invitation of the CSTO forces to maintain stability because as it turned out — suddenly, within a few hours — as he said, ‘international terrorist groups have emerged,’ which threaten the country and that is in fact the external aggression,” said Arkady Dubnov, a political analyst and expert on Central Asia.

       “It is a very awkward attempt to explain this threat in a very clumsy way so that it complies with the condition of the treaty that outlines the possibility of an intervention if one of the parties is under threat,” Dubnov added.

       Armenian Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan, who chairs a council within the military alliance, announced on Facebook that an unspecified number of troops would be sent to the Central Asian nation “for a limited time period” to “stabilize and resolve the situation.”

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       The alliance said forces from Russia, Belarus, Armenia, Tajikistan and Kyrgyzstan would be deployed to Kazakhstan, with the primary goal of protecting state and military facilities. Moscow also sent paratroopers, the organization said.

       Another post-Soviet ‘ruler for life’ faces upheaval, as enormous protests sweep Kazakhstan

       Kremlin propagandist Margarita Simonyan, the editor in chief of the government-funded TV channel RT (formerly Russia Today), suggested on Twitter that in exchange for Russia’s help, Kazakhstan’s government should make several concessions, including recognizing annexed Crimea as Russian territory and returning to the Cyrillic alphabet. (Nazarbayev in 2017 ordered the official script of the Kazakh language to be switched from the Cyrillic to Latin alphabet.)

       It’s not clear that Tokayev made any promises to Putin in exchange for Russian military support. In an effort to appease protesters, Tokayev quickly restored price caps on liquefied petroleum gas such as propane, which powers most vehicles in the country’s west. He also removed Nazarbayev as head of the powerful National Security Council and declared a two-week state of emergency for the entire country.

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       Nazarbayev, who ruled for nearly three decades before stepping down in 2019, has not been seen or heard from this week. On Wednesday, a statue of Nazarbayev in Taldykorgan, near Almaty, was pulled down and demolished by protesters. At rallies across the nation, people chanted “Old man, go away!”

       “Grievances have been accumulating over years, and with Nazarbayev’s resignation in 2019, people felt the promise of change and started pushing for change in various ways,” said Nargis Kassenova, a Central Asia expert at Harvard University, adding that there were references to a “Kazakh Spring.”

       How the demonstrations “are and will be perceived by the political elites … will define the trajectory” for Nazarbayev, who remains “central for the system,” Kassenova said.

       Kazakhstan is Central Asia’s wealthiest and, with 19 million people, its second-most-populous country, and the widespread unrest — along with the entrance of Russian-linked forces — stirred concerns in regional capitals and Washington.

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       State Department spokesman Ned Price called on all parties to resolve the situation peacefully.

       “We condemn the acts of violence and destruction of property and call for restraint by both the authorities and protesters,” he said in a statement. “We ask for all [Kazakhs] to respect and defend constitutional institutions, human rights, and media freedom, including through the restoration of Internet service.”

       Kazakhstan hosts the Baikonur Cosmodrome, a rocket launch complex leased to Russia. About a fifth of Kazakhstan’s population are ethnic Russians, and Moscow has in the past deployed peacekeepers to countries that Putin fears are slipping out of his political orbit. Leaders in Georgia, Moldova and Ukraine have previously complained that such troops prop up pro-Russian separatist forces.

       In Kazakhstan, fears of becoming the next Ukraine

       Deploying forces, even a relatively small contingent, to Kazakhstan now is particularly tricky for Moscow. Russia has massed more than 100,000 troops near the Ukraine border, according to U.S. and Ukrainian officials, in what American intelligence has found could be plans for a multipronged, fresh invasion into Ukraine as soon as this month.

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       Russian military units that had been deployed in Siberia and the Ural Mountains, near Kazakhstan, were “almost completely” moved to positions near Ukraine and Belarus, according to Rob Lee, a Russian military expert and fellow at the Foreign Policy Research Institute.

       “Russia still has plenty of units that it can deploy if necessary, but you wouldn’t want to start a conflict with Ukraine right now while the situation in Kazakhstan is so uncertain,” Lee said on Twitter. “Wars are inherently unpredictable, and Russia’s situation just became more complex.”

       Cheng reported from Seoul. Mary Ilyushina in Moscow contributed to this report.

       Read more:

       Kazakhstan President Nazarbayev to step down after nearly 30 years in power

       What do you give the autocrat who has everything? His name on the capital city.

       Central Asian leaders want to tighten grip on social media. Russia’s playbook blazes the trail.

       


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