Mark Harper says that Rishi sunak will lead them into the next election
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According to some Tory insiders Rishi Sunak could be out in two weeks with polls putting the Tories 22 points behind Labour and confidence in his leadership ebbing away.
Lobbying campaigns in favour of Leader of the House Penny Mordaunt and Defence Secretary Grant Shapps are already under way.
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But who is emerging as the favourite to be the next Tory leader either before or after the general election?
According to the bookmakers, who often accurately track political developments by following where people are placing their bets, three women now clearly head the list in what could be a reckoning for the party's ideological trajectory.
But there are also some surprise contenders emerging, especially if Sunak holds on until after the election.
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READ MORE: Sunak 'out in 2 weeks' as Shapps supporters push for him to be party leader
Kemi Badenoch is still the favourite to be the next Tory leader (Image: Getty)
Kemi Badenoch - 7/2
The Business and Trade Secretary is a candidate of the right who has appeal to MPs on the One Nation left of the party. Feisty and a good debater she has long been seen as the future of the party.
Critics, though, say she is too obsessed with the culture wars and her past association with Michael Gove counts against her.
Also she was involved in getting other ministers to quit and force Boris Johnson out. Boris-ally Nadine Dorries has claimed that there is a plot led by insider Dougie Smith to install her as leader.
Penny Mordaunt - 5/1
The Leader of the House won many fans with her sword carrying antics as Lord President at the King's coronation. She is also seen as the leading figure for the left of the party, is a superb debater and, unusually for the One Nation side, supported Brexit. Her weekly take down of the SNP has become compulsory watching.
Questions remain over her depth in terms of approach to policy and her support for woke issues such as trans rights. She is, though, being pushed at the moment as a unity candidate.
Suella Braverman - 15/2
The former Home Secretary who was sacked late last year by Rishi Sunak is the darling of the right and would take the party in a different direction. While members would certainly back her she is much less popular with MPs because of her uncompromising views on immigration, net zero and a number of other policy areas.
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Penny Mordaunt leads the way carrying the sword of state at the Coronation (Image: Getty)
Suella Braverman is the darling of the right (Image: Getty)
The establishment candidate: James Cleverly - 10/1
Coming in fourth is the current Home Secretary James Cleverly, likely to win a lot of support among the main body of MPs in the centre and on the left of the party. Another likeeable potential leader who has held two major offices of state and is a superb commmunicator.
However, he is not trusted by the right who think he was too soft on Rwanda and illegal immigration. Also can be gaffe prone as his comments before Christmas about rape drugs showed.
The real question is whether he wants it. He is not running a shadow leadership campaign and those close to him told express.co.uk this week that he has no appetite to become leader immediately after Sunak.
The surprise candidate: Robert Jenrick - 14/1
Has emerged from almost nowhere after resigning from the government over the Rwanda Bill and is now fifth favourite. Having once been a centrist, steady minister, Jenrick has been on a journey and is a champion of the right. He may be a more palatable alternative to Braverman when it comes to persuading MPs.
The best value bet: Dame Priti Patel - 20/1
Coming in at sixth is another former Home Secretary who has been quietly loyal to Sunak without being a fan of the Prime Minister. Was the only senior figure to get a compromise on the Rwanda Bill and has moved from being seen as a candidate of the right to a sensible alternative from the right with excellent Brexit credentials.
Dame Priti will have support from people like former Prime Minister Liz Truss and those who want to push quickly for low taxes but can still be abit of a Marmite character among her colleagues because of her robust nature. Is popular among members.
Nigel Farage is one of the favourites to be Tory leader (Image: Getty)
Three 'don't waste your money' bets
Coming in fifth equal on 20/1 with Dame Priti is Nigel Farage. While he is having a flirtation with the Tories and may end up joining after the election he is more likely to stand against them for Reform UK than become leader.
Just behind Farage at 22/1 is Lord Cameron, a former leader, who according to friends has no desire or intention to become Tory leader again even though he has made a comeback as Foreign Secretary. The leader anyway needs to be an MP in the Commons not a member of the Lords.
Then at 25/1 is the recently deposed Boris Johnson. He is not in Parliament at all and therefore would need to make some sort of comeback as an MP to become leader even though he is hugely popular still with members.
Others of note
Defence secretary Grant Shapps' supporters are promoting him. If you think he could do it you would get a very good return at 66/1.
Another candidate of the left of the Tories is Security Minister Tom Tugendhat at 33/1. He ran in 2022 and could make a bid again.
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Levelling Up Secretary Michael Gove is seen as a plotter but also the most capable minister in government. He has failed twice but is now quoted at 70/1.
Meanwhile, former Prime Minister for 49 days Liz Truss is said to fancy a comeback. Her odds are currently 80/1.
If you are a fan of GB News' Jacob Rees-Mogg then you can get odds of 100/1 on him stepping into the fray.
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