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New poll predicts complete Tory wipeout with Penny Mordaunt at risk of losing seat
2024-04-03 00:00:00.0     每日快报-政治     原网页

       Labour forecast to win over 400 seats in general election

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       Labour would win a landslide victory if there was a general election tomorrow, according to a new mega poll.

       The YouGov survey of more than 18,000 people predicted that Sir Keir Starmer's party would secure 403 seats, a majority of 154.

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       The Tories would be reduced to just 155 constituencies with the loss of 210 MPs in the dire poll for Rishi Sunak.

       Chancellor Jeremy Hunt, Commons Leader Penny Mordaunt and former Cabinet minister Sir Jacob Rees-Mogg are among big beasts expected to be casualties.

       The poll found the Lib Dems would win 49 MPs, up from their current 11.

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       The poll predicts Labour will win 403 seats compared to 155 for the Conservatives (Image: YOUGOV)

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       Meanwhile the SNP, which has faced a tumultuous year following Nicola Sturgeon's departure and a police probe into its finances, would be down from 48 seats to just 19 north of the border.

       Insurgent party Reform UK would not secure any seats despite coming second in 36 constituencies.

       The seats the Nigel Farage-linked party has the second largest share of the vote are Barnsley North and Hartlepool.

       Lee Anderson's Ashfield constituency is also in the top 10 where the right-wing party is placed second.

       According to the pollsters, Rishi Sunak is heading for a worse result than John Major's 1997 defeat, when the then-Tory leader won a total of 165 seats.

       Asked by The Sun's Never Mind the Ballots programme about the Conservatives' recent drop in the polls, the Prime Minister said: "It has been a frustrating time and I completely appreciate that. There's going to be lots of polls.

       "What matters is the general election and that's what I'm focusing on."

       Mr Sunak said his continued "working assumption" is that an election will take place in the second half of the year, but added he has not decided when this will be as he is "busy focusing on the things that matter to people".

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       The model is based on voting intention data from 18,761 British adults interviewed from 7-27 March.

       The Green Party would continue to hold Brighton Pavilion according to the polling, the seat currently held by Caroline Lucas - who is standing down at the election.

       In Wales, Plaid Cymru is expected to win a total of four seats, including the proposed Caerfyrddin constituency.

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关键词: Farage     general election     keyboard shortcuts     Tories     Labour     Reform     seats     Sunak     Nigel    
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