Nigel Farage's party is on the up, according to polling (Image: Getty)
A new map has shown where Reform UK would demolish Labour and the Conservative as a poll puts Nigel Farage ahead of Sir Keir Starmer and Kemi Badenoch again.
The prediction put together by Election Maps UK is based on polling results released by Find Out Now on Wednesday.
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These concluded that Reform UK was on 29% (+2), Labour 25% (+2) and the Conservatives on 18% (-3).
Modelling suggested that, if a general election were held now, Reform would win 253 seats (+248). But this would still be 73 short of a majority in the House of Commons.
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Just one poll, and those Reform/Conservative numbers are somewhat outliers as things stand, but this is what it could look like in an election:
RFM: 253 (+248) - 73 Short
LAB: 196 (-215)
LDM: 77 (+5)
SNP: 45 (+36)
CON: 40 (-81)
GRN: 7 (+3)
PLC: 4 (=)
Others: 9 (+4) https://t.co/9qTTlxcFug pic.twitter.com/7cyk4HhKrr
— Election Maps UK (@ElectionMapsUK) February 6, 2025
Labour would win 196 seats (-215), experts predict, with the Tories winning 40, a loss of 81.
The map suggests that Refrom UK would pick up constituencies in East Anglia and Norfolk, as well as parts of the south east and south west of England.
Even parts of the south coast and the Isle of Wight would be picked up.
In addition, parts of the home counties would fall, the chart suggests, and large swathes of the Midlands.
Bits of Wales are also coloured in bright blue, along with huge patches of the North, including Labour's so-called "Red Wall", where the party did well at the election last year.
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Reform would gain a swathe of seats if an election were held today, modelling has shown (Image: Getty)
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Nigel Farage's party looks like it would do well in the north west of England also, and in the north east.
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Labour drop biggest clue yet that Reform UK and Nigel Farage have them rattled
256 Comments
Labour panic as MPs set up new group to focus on threat of Nigel Farage's Reform
468 Comments
Top Tory Jacob Rees Mogg demands deal with Reform or Labour 'could win again'
104 Comments
'Bring it on!' Reform MPs' bullish reply as desperate Labour turns fire on Nigel Farage
613 Comments
Angela Rayner sparks fury as local elections cancelled for nine councils
632 Comments
Political earthquake as Tories ‘hold top-secret talks' on merger with Farage's Reform UK
119 Comments
Keir Starmer issued warning by Labour MPs over Nigel Farage threat after bombshell poll
88 Comments
Lee Anderson hails 'seismic moment' as Labour councillor defects to Reform
176 Comments
Reform and Nigel Farage favourites to win most seats at General Election
156 Comments
Brexit LIVE: Nigel Farage takes brutal swipe at Kemi Badenoch over leave vote
331 Comments
Reform UK top yet another poll - leaving one question about Kemi Badenoch
121 Comments
Keir Starmer 'humiliated' as Nigel Farage spots mocking detail at EU dinner
328 Comments
‘Act of humiliation!' Nigel Farage destroys Keir Starmer's EU negotiation summit
56 Comments
POLL: Do you think Labour is likely to betray Brexit voters?
472 Comments
Jubilant Nigel Farage hails 'truly astonishing' poll result as Reform surges
475 Comments
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75 Comments
Reform tops major national poll for first time
879 Comments
Labour and Tory vote collapses in Nigel Farage's seaside seat as Reform surge
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New UK map reveals 220 seats Reform would win in election held today
102 Comments
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256 Comments
Labour panic as MPs set up new group to focus on threat of Nigel Farage's Reform
468 Comments
Top Tory Jacob Rees Mogg demands deal with Reform or Labour 'could win again'
104 Comments
'Bring it on!' Reform MPs' bullish reply as desperate Labour turns fire on Nigel Farage
613 Comments
Angela Rayner sparks fury as local elections cancelled for nine councils
632 Comments
Political earthquake as Tories ‘hold top-secret talks' on merger with Farage's Reform UK
119 Comments
Keir Starmer issued warning by Labour MPs over Nigel Farage threat after bombshell poll
88 Comments
Lee Anderson hails 'seismic moment' as Labour councillor defects to Reform
176 Comments
Reform and Nigel Farage favourites to win most seats at General Election
156 Comments
Brexit LIVE: Nigel Farage takes brutal swipe at Kemi Badenoch over leave vote
331 Comments
Reform UK top yet another poll - leaving one question about Kemi Badenoch
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Jubilant Nigel Farage hails 'truly astonishing' poll result as Reform surges
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Nigel Farage is a slayer of heavyweights - one politician should be very worried
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Reform tops major national poll for first time
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Labour and Tory vote collapses in Nigel Farage's seaside seat as Reform surge
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Reform hits highest-ever level of support in huge poll boost for Nigel Farage
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New UK map reveals 220 seats Reform would win in election held today
102 Comments
Labour drop biggest clue yet that Reform UK and Nigel Farage have them rattled
256 Comments
Labour panic as MPs set up new group to focus on threat of Nigel Farage's Reform
468 Comments
Top Tory Jacob Rees Mogg demands deal with Reform or Labour 'could win again'
104 Comments
'Bring it on!' Reform MPs' bullish reply as desperate Labour turns fire on Nigel Farage
613 Comments
Angela Rayner sparks fury as local elections cancelled for nine councils
632 Comments
Political earthquake as Tories ‘hold top-secret talks' on merger with Farage's Reform UK
119 Comments
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Reacting to the poll, Reform UK's Chairman, Zia Yusuf wrote on X yesterday: "The turquoise tidal wave is rising!!"
It comes after Mr Farage's former advisor, Gawain Towler told the Express about Reform UK's target areas in 2025. These include Labour energy secretary Ed Miliband's patch in Doncaster.
Mr Towler added that Reform is looking to ensure it is "squeaky bum time" for Sir Keir Starmer and Kemi Badenoch, and "scare the pants off them" by grabbing seats across the country.