OPINION
Russia President Vladimir Putin (Image: Getty)
Despite diplomatic efforts, including shuttle diplomacy between Moscow, Kyiv, Riyadh, and Washington, alongside the freezing of military and intelligence support, we are no closer to a workable ceasefire than when President Trump assumed office.
Three key stakeholders—Russia, Ukraine, and the United States—hold vastly different positions.
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The idea of a 30-day ceasefire holding to allow for more comprehensive negotiations remains highly unlikely.
United States: America advocates for peace but has not outlined a clear vision for what that entails. The US has ruled out deploying troops or assigning NATO a formal role in Ukraine's long-term security.
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Russia: Regardless of any peace agreement it signs, Russia remains focused on securing all of Ukraine in the long term. A ceasefire would likely serve as an opportunity for Putin to rearm and regroup.
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Ukraine: With ongoing international support, particularly from Britain, Ukraine sees little incentive to agree to any deal that would compromise its sovereignty and security.
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Britain has demonstrated leadership in recognizing historical parallels with 1938 and the dangers of appeasement. As the US takes a step back and Russia intensifies its aggression,
We must not stop here. If any deal is signed on Russian terms – it will lead only lead to further war in Europe. It’s time for some Churchillian spirit in not to appease the bully.
Tobias Ellwood is a former British Army officer and Tory defence minister
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Tobias Ellwood (Image: Getty)