New polling shows a tight three-way race between Reform UK, the Tories and Labour (Image: Getty)

       Shocking new polling shows a tight three-way race between Reform UK, the Tories and Labour if a General Election (GE) was held tomorrow. Sir Keir Starmer’s party would haemorrhage a record number of seats to Nigel Farage, according to charts by political consultancy and pollster Electoral Calculus, as the Tories surge to near neck and neck with Labour.

       Research shows Reform would gain a staggering 138 seats, winning a total of 143. Of these, 121 would come at the expense of Labour as they are predicted to lose 223. Sir Keir’s party would lose 54% of its seats, winning 189, while the Conservatives close in with 183, gaining 62. According to a study by Britain’s senior psephologist, Professor Richard Rose, at the GE in July 2024, Mr Farage’s party won eight times as many votes from Conservatives as it did from Labour. However, despite the insurgent party’s huge success, winning 14.3% of the electorate, it only gained five seats.

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       New polling shows Labour would lose 54% of its seats (Image: Electoral Calculus)

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       This pushed Labour into the huge majority it gained last year as the right-wing vote was split between the Tories and Reform.

       Professor Rose told GB News: “Now that Labour is in government it has become the victim of Reform's protest appeal."

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       Since coming to power, a series of unpopular measures have caused support for the party to plummet. Cuts to welfare, the axing of the winter fuel allowance, the war on farmers, and increased business taxes are among the reasons many Labour voters are losing confidence.

       “Labour is still forecast as likely to win the most seats in the House of Commons according to MRP analysis, but its projected 189 MPs is less than half the total it now has and it is 137 seats short of a parliamentary majority,” Professor Rose continued.

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       80 Comments

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       81 Comments

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       516 Comments

       Bombshell poll predicts how many seats Nigel Farage's Reform will win at next election

       905 Comments

       I was in the room when Keir Starmer showed how worried Labour is by Reform

       97 Comments

       Keir Starmer dealt huge poll blow in backlash at spring statement as Labour drops to third

       421 Comments

       Joy for Nigel Farage and Reform UK as 102-year-old record broken

       219 Comments

       Nigel Farage laughing all the way to victory in major blow to Tories

       48 Comments

       Nigel Farage blasts 'obsessed' Labour over Reform UK attacks

       516 Comments

       Keir Starmer and Rachel Reeves one simple misstep away from disaster

       19 Comments

       Sky's Trevor Phillips blasts 'unpleasant' Labour attack on Nigel Farage and Kemi Badenoch

       95 Comments

       Nightmare for Lib Dems as REFORM gains seat in thumping by-election win

       194 Comments

       Experts predict Nigel Farage and Reform UK could be big winners in May 1 local elections

       64 Comments

       New chart reveals important stat which could help Nigel Farage and Reform at next election

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       The Conservatives could gain 62 seats, winning 183, if an election were held tomorrow (Image: Getty)

       Research shows Reform would gain 138 seats in the next GE, at the expense of Labour (Image: Getty)

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       “A breakdown of Labour losses shows that it would lose 121 seats to Reform candidates if an election were held today.”

       Research also highlights a Labour wipeout in Scotland where the SNP is predicted to take back all 33 seats it lost to Sir Keir in July.

       With the next General Election four years away, the next electoral opportunity comes on May 1 with the parliamentary by-election in Runcorn and Helsby, Labour MP Mike Amesbury’s old seat. Nationwide local elections will also take place where over 1,600 councillors will be elected.