StarPicks Stepping towards excellence The average lag time is 14 months, according to Eric Basmajian, founder of economics research firm EPB Research, who excludes 1981 from his calculations because the LEI index did not make a cycle peak then. The lag time now is 17 months, and counting....
“ But we are certainly exceeding the mean and average of these historical outcomes.” Long and variable lagsOne of the most reliable recession indicators is the spread between three-month and 10-year US bond
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星报-商业
2023-07-17 00:00:00.0